Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/27/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 27, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  FDSOK

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  239.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  239.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  239.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  44-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  60-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  6-4 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  9-1 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 44-28 record overall this season and they are 19-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Jazz. Desmond Bane led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jaren Jackson Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Zach Edey and John Konchar each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 53.1% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 38-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-30.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 60-12 record overall this season and they are 30-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Detroit Pistons, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Sacramento Kings. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 32 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 18 points. Kenrich Williams and Alex Caruso each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.4% from the field, 59.4% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 45-24-4 this season and their O/U record is 39-32-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 60-12 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They are the first team in the NBA to hit 60 wins this season, and they have looked great on their home court all year with their 30-5 home record. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have also looked really good in their games this season with their 44-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team this year too, but they haven't looked as good in those games with their 19-17 road record. The Grizzlies have looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a huge win over the Jazz in their last one, but the Jazz are also one of the worst teams in the NBA and the Grizzlies still haven't been as hot as the Thunder lately. The Thunder are not only one of the best teams in the NBA right now, they are also 9-1 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row. They are coming off a big win by double digits over the Kings in their last one and a lot of their wins lately have been by double digits too. The Thunder have been rolling lately and the Grizzlies aren't going to be the team to stop them on the road, especially since the Grizzlies are still missing some key players like Ja Morant. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 27, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 137 Grizzlies 122.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 16-33 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 6-15 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 22-33 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 44-28 OVER as a road underdog. 15-8 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder: 40-24 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 75-46 ATS in home games. 46-25 ATS off a road win. 28-19 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 42-27 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Jackson Jr. (C) Day To Day - Face. M. Bagley (PF) Day To Day - Concussion Protocol. L. Stevens (PF) Day To Day - Shoulder. J. Morant (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. Z. Pullin Day To Day - Knee. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  C. Wallace (SG) Day To Day - Knee. A. Wiggins (SG) Day To Day - Achilles. A. Ducas Day To Day - Quadriceps. O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. J. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Hip. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“We were getting what we needed on the offensive side, even though we were missing a couple shots there. But we made a great run at the end of the second quarter, and then just our resistance and physicality on the defensive side in the third quarter was so much better. That allowed us to get out — our fast break numbers were better. We ended up with 38 assists. We were just playing with a different level of energy, because our defense sparked us.” - Taylor Jenkins after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Tuesday.

"We play every night to get better, to become a better group ourselves. And that's the reason why we've clinched this early. That's the reason why we've been the fastest team to 60 wins in franchise history. No matter what we've done in the past, what we've accomplished, if we focus on using the opportunity in front of us to get better, we have to look up at the end of a season and be better, and that's all you can control." - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after their win against the Kings in their game on Tuesday.

PG Luke Kennard

SG Desmond Bane

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Santi Aldama

C Jaren Jackson Jr. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Kenrich Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PPG: J. Jackson (22.4)

APG: J. Morant (7.4)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.7)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (11)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (6th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)