Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/11/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 11, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  FDSN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +2, Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +2, Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +2, Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  24-14 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  20-17 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 24-14 record overall this season and they are 9-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Houston Rockets. Ja Morant led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jaren Jackson Jr. was next on the team with 21 points. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Santi Aldama led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.8 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 24-14 this season and their O/U record is 23-15.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 20-17 record overall this season and they are 10-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Orlando Magic. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 23 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 21 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 77.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.2 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 15-21-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-20.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 20-17 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They have looked better on their home court this season with their 10-7 home record, and they are coming into this one with some momentum, winning 3 games in a row now. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have looked really good in their games this season with their 24-14 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have been dealing with some injuries lately and even though they got some key players back in their lineup, they are still coming off a home loss to the Rockets in their last one. They haven't been a great road team this year either with their 9-9 road record. The Grizzlies have looked really good this season when they have been fully healthy while the Timberwolves have been really up and down all season, but the Timberwolves are finally starting to find their groove and are working on climbing up the standings in the West. The Grizzlies got some key players back, but Morant didn't look great in his return against the Rockets and this is going to be a much tougher environment for them with the Timberwolves looking a lot better lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 11, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 122 Grizzlies 118.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 13-28 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 9-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 4-11 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 24-18 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 17-10 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 18-10 UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 20-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 38-25 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 22-14 ATS in January games. 27-18 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 9-5 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.

Memphis Grizzlies:  C. Spencer Day To Day - Thumb. M. Smart (PG) Out - Finger. V. Williams (SG) Out - Ankle. G. Jackson (PF) Out - Foot.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Out - Ankle.

"Guys coming back from injury, trying to find a rhythm, trying to find a spark from other guys. I’ll evaluate." - Taylor Jenkins on benching Ja Morant after his team’s loss against the Rockets in their game on Thursday.

“He was just frustrated. Upon reflection, he realized this is his new reality, you want to be a great player in the league? This is what you are going to face. His approach has changed. He’s using strategies to attack these things, he’s staying engaged, he’s kind of piece by piecing it through the game because every possession might be different and that’s different for him.” - Chris Finch on Anthony Edwards this season.

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: J. Jackson (22.6)

APG: J. Morant (7.7)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.5)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.7)

APG: J. Randle (4.4)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.7)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (6th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)