Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/06/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Dec 06, 2021
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, December 6, 2021
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Memphis Grizzlies:  13-10 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Miami Heat:  14-10 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Memphis Grizzlies:  7-3 last 10
Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Memphis Grizzlies Analysis

The Grizzlies are coming into this game with a 13-10 record overall and they are 5-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss came against the Atlanta Hawks but they have gone on a 4 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Toronto Raptors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Desmond Bane led the team in points in that game with 29 while Tyus Jones was next on the team with 16 points. Jones led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Steven Adams led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 48.7% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 58.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 14-9 this season and their O/U record is 13-10.
 
 

Miami Heat Analysis

The Heat are coming into this game with a 14-10 record overall and they are 6-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Their 1 win in that span came against the Indiana Pacers while their 3 losses were against the Denver Nuggets, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Max Strus led the team in points in that game off the bench with 25 while Caleb Martin was next on the team with 16 points. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Dewayne Dedmon led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 40.5% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 107.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 14-10 this season and their O/U record is 15-9.
 
 

 

Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are coming into this game as a 4.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have been missing their star Jimmy Butler in their last 4 games and have only been able to win 1 game without him in the lineup. The Grizzlies have been playing very well with 4 straight wins but they are still missing their best player Ja Morant and a loss like that is going to catch up to them eventually. Butler should be returning for this game and the Heat have been pretty good at home this season so they will be looking to snap their losing streak with Butler back and get a nice win here. The best bet to place in this game is on the Heat to cover the spread here. 
 
Grizzlies Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, December 6, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 110 Grizzlies 97.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Memphis Grizzlies: 38-19 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less. 7-1 ATS after 2 straight games outrebounding the opponent by 10 or more. 12-4 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 5-1 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 5-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less.
Miami Heat: 5-1 O/U when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 10-1 O/U in non-conference games. 9-2 O/U after a game being outrebounded by the opponent by 15 or more. 5-1 O/U off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. 27-12 O/U after a loss by 10 points or more. 18-7 O/U after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Memphis Grizzlies:  B. Clarke (PF) Doub Mon - Knee injury. Kyle Anderson (SF) Out Mon - Back injury. Ziaire Williams (SF) Ques Mon - Knee injury. J. Morant (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. Sam Merrill (PG) Mid Dec - Ankle injury.
Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Ques Mon - Tailbone injury. Bam Adebayo (C) Mid Jan - Thumb injury. M. Garrett (PG) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. Victor Oladipo (SG) Mid Dec - Quadricep injury. Markieff Morris (PF) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think we've been getting off to good starts. We've been playing well on the defensive side, and that's been allowing us to get out and run. That's our best offense. The more we can get stops and get out in transition, the more I like our chances." - Desmond Bane on his team’s win against the Mavericks on Saturday night.
 
 
"It's been a great fit. We have a lot of similar values in how we view competition. We've been a fan of his for a long time.” - Erik Spoelstra on having P.J. Tucker on his team.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Memphis Grizzlies
PG    Tyus Jones
SG    Desmond Bane
SF    Dillon Brooks
PF     Jaren Jackson Jr.
C    Steven Adams
 
Miami Heat
PG     Kyle Lowry
SG     Duncan Robinson
SF     Max Strus
PF     P.J. Tucker
C     Dewayne Dedmon
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Morant (24.1)
APG: J. Morant (6.8)
Reb/G: S. Adams (8.2)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (23.6)
APG: K. Lowry (7.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.2)
 
Coaches:
Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (3rd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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