Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/03/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, April 3, 2025

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -4, Heat +4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -4, Heat +4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies -4, Heat +4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  44-32 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Miami Heat:  34-41 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  2-8 last 10

Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 44-32 record overall this season and they are 19-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Boston Celtics, and the Golden State Warriors. Ja Morant led the team in points in that game with 36 while Jaren Jackson Jr. was next on the team with 22 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 47.8% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.3 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 38-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-32.

The Heat are entering this game with a 34-41 record overall this season and they are 18-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Golden State Warriors, the Atlanta Hawks, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Washington Wizards, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Boston Celtics still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Wizards, Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 28 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 27 points. Terry Rozier led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.5% from the field, 28.1% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 35-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 38-37.

The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Grizzlies have looked good in their games this season with their 44-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a decent road team too with their 19-18 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked good in their games this season with their 34-41 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East, but that record still has them in a play-in spot. They haven't even looked that good on their home court though with their 18-19 home record this season. They have been starting to get hot lately and have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now, but they are still 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't been a consistent team. They are also in a bad situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and have a very tough game against the Celtics in Boston on Wednesday night, still needing to travel home for this game on Thursday. The Grizzlies have looked terrible lately as they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have lost 4 games in a row now. They just fired their head coach and are now at risk of losing their playoff spot with the way they have been sliding down the standings. They have the same record as the Timberwolves who are in the play-in tournament at the moment so the pressure is on for the Grizzlies, but this is a great situation for them to get a much needed bounce back win. The Grizzlies are going to be desperate to win this game and as bad as they have been lately, they still have a lot of talent on their team as they are a really good team in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 3, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 120 Heat 107.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 9-3 ATS on the road after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 26-16 ATS on the road in non-conference games. 27-15 ATS on the road versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 20-11 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 31-22 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 

Miami Heat: 15-22 ATS as a home underdog. 20-32 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 23-37 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 7-4 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Konchar (SG) Day To Day - Illness. V. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Illness. Z. Pullin (SG) Day To Day - Knee. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

Miami Heat:  A. Wiggins (SF) Out - Hamstring. K. Love (PF) Out - Personal. D. Robinson (SF) Out - Back. N. Jovic (PF) Out - Hand. D. Smith (PG) Out For Season - Achilles.

“It’s frustrating to lose three in a row. Very winnable games. I don’t feel like we’re playing bad basketball. We’re definitely not playing good enough to win. Margins are small in this league, and it’s hard to win in this league. We’re not far.” - Desmond Bane after their loss against the Warriors in their game on Tuesday.

“It feels like we’re really connected. It feels like everyone’s covering for each other and we’re all playing really well off each other right now.” - Tyler Herro after their win against the Wizards in their game on Monday.

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PG Tyler Herro

SG Alec Burks

SF Haywood Highsmith

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PPG: J. Morant (22.7)

APG: J. Morant (7.4)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.7)

PPG: T. Herro (23.7)

APG: T. Herro (5.6)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.7)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)