Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, April 11, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO 

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +7, Nuggets -7; Over/Under:  240 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +7, Nuggets -7; Over/Under:  240 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  239.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  47-32 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  48-32 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on an 11-5 NBA RUN for +$5,500 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Memphis Grizzlies:  4-6 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  4-6 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 47-32 record overall this season and they are 22-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Detroit Pistons, and the Charlotte Hornets, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Minnesota Timberwolves still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Hornets, Ja Morant led the team in points in that game with 28 while Desmond Bane was next on the team with 19 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 19. They were 45.2% from the field, 32.7% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 40-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-35.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 48-32 record overall this season and they are 25-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Sacramento Kings. Christian Braun led the team in points in that game with 25 while Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. each were next on the team with 21 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 36-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-32.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on their home court too with their 25-15 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have looked good in their games this season with their 47-32 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 22-18 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. They have looked a lot better lately with 3 wins in a row now and a lot of momentum on their side, but they are still just 4-6 in their last 10 games. They aren't in a great situation here either since they are playing this game on a back-to-back with a really important game against the Timberwolves the night before. This is also a really important game with the tight race in the West, but their game against the Timberwolves means more for seeding since the Timberwolves are only 1 game behind and could drop the Grizzlies down to the play-in tournament. The Grizzlies are going to be more focused on the 1st half of this back-to-back and that gives the Nuggets an advantage at home since they are also rested. The Nuggets just fired their head coach in what seemed like a strange decision, but they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and now coming off a win in their last one with their head coach gone. The Nuggets still need this game for seeding too since they haven't clinched a true playoff spot yet so look for them to bring their best effort here and take advantage of the Grizzlies in this bad situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 11, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 132 Grizzlies 112.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Memphis Grizzlies Denver Nuggets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Memphis Grizzlies: 16-34 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 14-21 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 22-35 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 31-20 UNDER against Northwest division opponents.

Denver Nuggets: 35-22 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 6-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 10-4 ATS at home versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 29-22 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

Memphis Grizzlies:  Z. Pullin (SG) Out - Knee. J. Wells (SG) Out - Wrist. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. D. Holmes II (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

“It puts everything into perspective seeing that situation and to see Jaylen there. He’s an incredibly tough kid and had a great season.” - Tuomas Iisalo on the injury to Jaylen Wells after their win against the Hornets on Tuesday.

“People say that we were vulnerable, but the beast is always the most dangerous when they’re vulnerable. Maybe he woke up the beast.” - Nikola Jokic after their win against the Kings in their game on Wednesday.

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Vince Williams Jr.

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PG Russell Westbrook

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: J. Morant (23)

APG: J. Morant (7.3)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (8.2)

PPG: N. Jokić (29.8)

APG: N. Jokić (10.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Chris Finch (5th season)

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (Interim)