Maryland Terrapins vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/27/2025

Game Time: 7:39 pm ET, Thursday, March 27, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  TBS, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Maryland +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Maryland +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Maryland +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Maryland Terrapins:  27-8 (14-6) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Florida Gators:  32-4 (14-4) (2nd place, SEC)

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Maryland Terrapins:  4-1  last 5

Florida Gators:  5-0  last 5

Maryland is entering this game with a 27-8 record overall, a 14-6 record in conference games, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Colorado State Rams in their last game. Derik Queen led the team in points in that game with 17 while Rodney Rice was next on the team with 16. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Julian Reese led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 41.9% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.6 PPG against them. Maryland has an ATS record of 18-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-15-1.

Florida is entering this game with a 32-4 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 10-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UConn Huskies in their last game. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in points in that game with 23 while Alijah Martin was next on the team with 18. Alex Condon led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Alex Condon, Rueben Chinyelu, and Thomas Haugh each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 46% from the field, 47.4% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 26-10 this season and their O/U record is 19-17.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 32-4 record overall and their 14-4 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have also looked great in their neutral site games this season with their 10-0 record in those. Meanwhile, Maryland has looked really good in their games this season with their 27-8 record overall and their 14-6 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big Ten. They also looked good in their neutral site games with their 5-1 record in those. Maryland looked really good in their 1st game of this tournament with a big win over Grand Canyon, but they did not look good in their last game. They beat Colorado State by 1 point with a buzzer beater and they were trailing for a majority of that game. They were able to make a comeback, but they will find themselves in trouble if they fall behind against a team like Florida. Florida also looked great in their 1st game as they blew out Norfolk State, but they also struggled in their last game against UConn. They were trailing for most of that game, but they managed to tighten up near the end and take the lead when it mattered. They also had a much tougher game against a better UConn team that was also the back-to-back defending champions so they weren't going to go down without a fight. Florida played in a much tougher conference all season and they are the more battle tested team so they are going to bring their best effort after a scare like that and Maryland won't be able to do much in response. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Maryland Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 27, 2025 (7:39 pm ET start time) is Florida 85 Maryland 74.

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Maryland Terrapins: 9-5 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 9-5 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 17-9 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 9-5 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 

Florida Gators: 0-4 ATS in a postseason tournament game. 0-3 ATS in NCAA tournament games. 14-7 OVER as a neutral court favorite or pick. 10-5 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 19-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 26-16 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

Maryland Terrapins:  J. Long (G) Questionable - Knee. B. Pierce (C) Out - Eye.

Florida Gators:  S. Alexis (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Rioux (C) Out - Redshirt.

“Sometimes, you can draw something up for a guy that maybe doesn’t want the basketball. So once he said that, it was a pretty simple decision, and I could see everyone’s body language kind of perk up a little bit, because he was so confident that he wanted the basketball. It was just a simple zipper: Give him the basketball and let him go to work.” - Kevin Willard after his team’s win against CSU in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. 

“This is a great win for our program. The time was now for us to take that next step. Again, Florida basketball, back where it belongs. Being in the Sweet 16 is a great step in the right direction. We made winning play after winning play down the stretch in the last six minutes.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against UConn in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. 

J. Gillespie 

S. Miguel 

D. Queen 

J. Reese 

R. Rice

R. Chinyelu 

W. Clayton 

A. Condon 

A. Martin 

W. Richard

PPG: D. Queen (16.3)

APG: J. Gillespie (5)

Reb/G: D. Queen (9)

PPG: W. Clayton (17.5)

APG: W. Clayton (4.3)

Reb/G: A. Condon (7.9)

Coaches:

Maryland Terrapins: Kevin Willard (3rd season)

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)