LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024

Venue:  Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  LSU -2.5, Arkansas +2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  LSU -2.5, Arkansas +2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  LSU -2.5, Arkansas +2.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

LSU Tigers:  5-1 (2-0) (2nd place, SEC)

Arkansas Razorbacks:  4-2 (2-1) (8th place, SEC)

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LSU Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Mississippi Rebels 29-26 in overtime.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Volunteers 19-14.

LSU is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Ole Miss 29-26 in OT. Garrett Nussmeier was the starting QB and he completed 22/51 passes for 337 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Caden Durham led the team in rushing yards with 37. Kyren Lacy led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Whit Weeks led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Bradyn Swinson led the defense in sacks with 2. Zy Alexander came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Arkansas is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Tennessee 19-14. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 19/27 passes for 266 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Braylen Russell led the team in rushing yards with 62. Andrew Armstrong led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Doneiko Slaughter led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Eric Gregory led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU has looked great in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them near the top of the SEC. They lost their season opener to USC, but they have won 5 games in a row since then and they are going to have a ton of momentum from their OT win over Ole Miss last week. Meanwhile, Arkansas has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record, but that SEC loss puts them in the middle of the pack and out of the race for the Championship at the moment. They pulled off a huge upset win over Tennessee in their last one and now they are coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this game. Their defense has looked really good since entering conference play, but their offense has struggled a lot more and they have been relying more on defense to win their games. They will be able to slow LSU down a bit, but LSU has a much stronger offense that is going to be a big problem for this Arkansas defense throughout the game. LSU doesn't have the best defense, but they have improved a lot from previous years and they shouldn't have any problems stopping this Arkansas offense that hasn't scored 20 points in 2 straight games. LSU will do enough to win this game with their offense and keep on their streak. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game. 

LSU Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 27 Arkansas 17.

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LSU Tigers: 3-6 ATS in road lined games. 1-4 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 3-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 17-8 OVER as a favorite. 8-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 14-5 OVER against conference opponents. 10-4 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

Arkansas Razorbacks: 11-5 ATS as an underdog. 8-4 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 10-5 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 21-9 OVER in all lined games. 10-5 OVER in home lined games. 8-3 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 

LSU Tigers:  D. Womack (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Roberts (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Malbrue (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Jackson (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Ibieta (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Hilton (WR) Questionable - Ankle. J. Allen (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Guillory (DT) Out - Achilles. J. Emery (RB) Out - Knee.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  J. Wilson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. James (WR) Out - Suspension. R. Dubinion (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Mitchell (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Kutas (OL) Questionable - Back.

“Hopefully, this will be a huge growth moment for me in taking my game to the next level. I played bad, but we had a chance to win the ball game and I had to focus on that.” - Garrett Nussmeier after their win against Ole Miss in their last game. 

“Our kids, our coaches did a wonderful job of preparing our guys and making them believe that we can go win tonight. These guys are happy; they’re not surprised. If we have the same amount of turnovers, we can play with anybody. You get into coaching for moments like what just happened, and it’s to see the kids and the smiles on their face and the hard work that they do, because there’s a lot of teams that can’t get to that feeling. We did tonight.” - Sam Pittman after his team’s win against Tennessee in their last game. 

WR Hilton Jr., Chris 

WR Daniels, CJ 

WR Lacy, Kyren 

TE Taylor, Mason 

QB Nussmeier, Garrett 

RB Williams, Josh 

WR Armstrong, Andrew 

WR Broden, Tyrone 

WR Sategna, Isaiah

TE Hasz, Luke

QB Green, Taylen 

RB Jackson, Ja'Quinden

Passing: G. Nussmeier (1989)

Rushing: C. Durham (281)

Receiving: K. Lacy (463)

Touchdowns: K. Lacy (6)

Passing: T. Green (1502)

Rushing: J. Jackson (566)

Receiving: A. Armstrong (552)

Touchdowns: J. Jackson (10)

Coaches:

LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (3rd season)

Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (5th season)