Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/28/2024

Game Time: 2:15 pm ET, Saturday, December 28, 2024

Venue:  University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ULL +12.5, TCU -12.5; Over/Under:  58 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ULL +12.5, TCU -12.5; Over/Under:  58 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ULL +13, TCU -13; Over/Under:  57.5 points

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  10-3 (7-1) (1st place, Sun Belt West)

TCU Horned Frogs:  8-4 (6-3) (7th place, Big 12)

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Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  lost their last game at home against the Marshall Thundering Herd 31-3.

TCU Horned Frogs:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bearcats 20-13.

Louisiana-Lafayette is entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Marshall 31-3. Chandler Fields was the starting QB and he completed 4/8 passes for 104 passing yards before getting replaced by Daniel Beale who completed 9/24 passes for 95 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Zylan Perry led the team in rushing yards with 25. Lance LeGendre led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Mason Narcisse led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Cameron Whitfield led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

TCU is entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 6-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Cincinnati 20-13. Josh Hoover was the starting QB and he completed 18/35 passes for 212 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Hauss Hejny led the team in rushing yards with 48. Blake Nowell led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Johnny Hodges led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Markis Deal led the defense in sacks with 1. Channing Canada came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has looked good in their games this season with their 8-4 record overall and their 6-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12. They weren't a threat in the Big 12 this season, but they have been building a nice team that ended the regular season with a road win over Cincinnati and they have also been putting up a ton of points in a lot of their games this season. Meanwhile, Louisiana has looked great in their games this season with their 10-3 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Sun Belt. They went to the Sun Belt Championship, but they looked terrible in that game, losing at home to Marshall 31-3. They just extended their head coach who will be staying with the team after a great year, but it is going to be tough for these players to find the motivation to play in this game after losing the biggest game of their season at home. TCU also had a great year in a better conference and they don't have the heartbreak of losing in their conference championship so they are going to bring their best effort in this game to finish the season strong. They also have the much better offense with the way they have been putting points up all season and Louisiana won't be able to stop them with the way their defense played in the Sun Belt Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Louisiana TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 28, 2024 (2:15 pm ET start time) is TCU 42 Louisiana 24.

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Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: 8-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 6-0 ATS off a home loss. 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 9-5 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 9-3 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 8-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more.

TCU Horned Frogs: 6-10 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 2-5 1H ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 4-7 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 5-2 UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 11-4 1H UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  C. Fields (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Wooldridge (QB) Out - Collarbone. C. Robertson (WR) Out - Eligibility.

TCU Horned Frogs:  S. Williams (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Bech (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Everhart (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Earle (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Curtis (TE) Questionable - Arm.

"You always look forward to the next opportunity. It's always a big deal for us. If you can finish this season with a win against a team like TCU and finish with 11 wins, that puts you in a better starting spot next year." - Michael Desormeaux on his team playing in the New Mexico Bowl.

“I’m proud of our team for winning five of the last six games. (I'm proud of) the team’s resilience and toughness in bouncing back from injuries and nagging issues.” - Sonny Dykes after his team’s win against Cincinnati in their regular season finale. 

WR Broussard, Harvey 

WR Bernard, Jacob

WR LeGendre, Lance

TE Carter, Terrance

TE Jensen, Caden 

QB Fields, Chandler

RB Perry, Zylan

WR Williams, Savion

WR McAlister, Eric 

WR Richardson, JP 

TE Dabney, Drake 

QB Hoover, Josh 

RB Cook, Cam

Passing: B. Wooldridge (2392)

Rushing: B. Davis (775)

Receiving: L. LeGendre (814)

Touchdowns: B. Davis (10)

Passing: J. Hoover (3697)

Rushing: J. McIver (754)

Receiving: J. Bech (1034)

Touchdowns: S. Williams (12)

Coaches:

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: Michael Desormeaux (4th season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (3rd season)