by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 13, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 17, 2024
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Rams -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Rams -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Rams -4.5, Patriots +4.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Rams: 4-5 (3rd place, NFC West)
New England Patriots: 3-7 (4th place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Rams: lost their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 23-15.
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 19-3.
Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Rams are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 23-15. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 32/46 passes for 293 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing yards with 62. Puka Nacua led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Omar Speights led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kobie Turner, Jared Verse, and Byron Young each led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Rozeboom came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 19-3. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 184 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 74. Austin Hooper led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jahlani Tavai led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Anfernee Jennings and Deatrich Wise Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Rams vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rams listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rams haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-5 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC West, but that record still has them right in this division race. They are coming off a loss against the Dolphins in their last one, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately before losing that one and they will be looking to bounce back here against one of the worst teams in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Patriots have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-7 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC East and pretty much out of the playoff race. They have also looked worse in their home games this season with their 1-3 home record. They are going to have a bit of momentum here since they are coming off a nice road win over the Bears in their last one, but they won't be facing a team with offensive problems like the Bears have. The Rams have looked a lot better on offense the last few weeks with the team getting healthier now and even their defense has looked better too. The Patriots won't be able to stay in this game with their offense, especially if they fall behind early, and the Rams will be focused on getting back to .500 so they can keep themselves in this NFC West race. The Rams still have hopes to make the playoffs this season, but these are the games they can't be losing. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rams to cover the spread in this game.
Rams Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 17, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Rams 30 Patriots 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Rams: 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 7-4 UNDER in non-conference games. 6-3 UNDER off a home loss. 9-4 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more.
New England Patriots: 16-25 ATS in all games. 5-13 ATS in home games. 3-12 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 0-5 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 4-1 UNDER after a 2 game road trip. 11-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Rams: C. Rozeboom (LB) Questionable - Neck. D. Robinson (WR) Injured - Toe. R. Havenstein (OL) Out - Ankle. K. Curl (DB) Questionable - Knee. N. Gallimore (NT) Out - Shoulder. J. Jackson (G) Injured - Shoulder. K. Dotson (OL) Questionable - Ankle. S. Avila (OL) Injured - Knee. E. Evans (P) Injured - Illness. J. Wallace (DB) Injured - Calf. J. Whittington (WR) Injured - Shoulder. C. Woods (DB) Injured - Toe.
New England Patriots: Y. Ngakoue (OLB) Out - Personal. J. Tavai (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. C. Elliss (LB) Out - Abdomen. A. Austin (CB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Roy (DT) Questionable - Neck. D. Ekuale (DT) Questionable - Abdomen. K. White (DE) Injured - Knee. L. Robinson (G) Questionable - Ankle. M. Jordan (G) Questionable - Ankle. M. Mapu (SAF) Questionable - Neck. S. Takitaki (LB) Injured - Knee. K. Dugger (SAF) Out - Ankle. V. Lowe (T) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Hasty (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“Defensively, I was pleased with the way we played. Ultimately we weren’t able to capitalize on offense. There wasn’t any semblance of complementary football. ... There have been instances where we haven’t been consistent enough. Sloppy? Yeah. We have to be able to play better and be more consistent.” - Sean McVay after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
“It's kind of a good taste of what it looked like for me in training camp. They get after you.” - Drake Maye after their win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Rams
WR Robinson, Demarcus
WR Nacua, Puka
WR Kupp, Cooper
TE Allen, Davis
QB Stafford, Matthew
RB Williams, Kyren
New England Patriots
WR Bourne, Kendrick
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Douglas, DeMario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Maye, Drake
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Rams
Passing: M. Stafford (2262)
Rushing: K. Williams (664)
Receiving: C. Kupp (382)
Touchdowns: K. Williams (10)
New England Patriots
Passing: D. Maye (954)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (512)
Receiving: H. Henry (428)
Touchdowns: R. Stevenson (7)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Rams: Sean McVay (8th season)
New England Patriots: Jerod Mayo (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
