by Rod Pearson
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 29, 2025
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch: FDSSE
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lakers +1, Grizzlies -1; Over/Under: 234.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lakers +1, Grizzlies -1; Over/Under: 234.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lakers +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under: 234.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Lakers: 44-29 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Memphis Grizzlies: 44-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers: 4-6 last 10
Memphis Grizzlies: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview and Analysis
The Lakers are entering this game with a 44-29 record overall this season and they are 16-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Chicago Bulls. Austin Reaves led the team in points in that game with 30 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 25 points. LeBron James led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.5% from the field, 29.3% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 39-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 36-37.
The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 44-29 record overall this season and they are 25-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 27 while Scotty Pippen Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 41.8% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 95.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 38-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-31.
Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Grizzlies have looked good in their games this season with their 44-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked really good on their home court with their 25-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Lakers have looked good in their games this season with their 44-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 16-20 road record this season. They were really hot for a while as they stormed up the standings in the West, but now they have cooled off again and haven't looked great lately. They are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a terrible loss to the Bulls which they blew a 5 point lead with less than 10 seconds left. The Grizzlies haven't looked any better lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are also coming off a bad loss in their last one to the thunder by double digits, but the Grizzlies also just fired their head coach so that could give them a bit of a boost here. They will be looking to bounce back after such a bad loss to the best team in the West and this is a game they will bring their best effort for since it will be a good litmus test for a playoff type game. The Lakers haven't been at their best lately and have struggled on the road all season, the Grizzlies can take advantage of that at home as they look to respond to their coach being fired. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game.
Lakers Grizzlies Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 29, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 124 Lakers 117.
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NBA Betting Trends
Los Angeles Lakers: 24-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 33-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 46-33 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 10-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite. 49-31 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game.
Memphis Grizzlies: 28-39 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 14-20 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 17-28 ATS in March games. 38-29 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 7-1 OVER at home revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Lakers: R. Hachimura (PF) Day To Day - Knee. M. Kleber (PF) Out - Foot.
Memphis Grizzlies: M. Bagley (PF) Day To Day - Concussion. J. Morant (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. Z. Pullin Day To Day - Knee. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"We put ourselves in position to win, gave up a lot of threes in the fourth quarter, still put ourselves in position to win." - LeBron James after their loss against the Bulls in their game on Thursday.
“This was a difficult decision, given the consistent and tangible development of our players and overall success under Taylor’s leadership.” - Zach Kleiman on firing Taylor Jenkins after the team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luka Doncic
SG Austin Reaves
SF Rui Hachimura
PF LeBron James
C Jaxson Hayes
Memphis Grizzlies
PG Scotty Pippen Jr.
SG Desmond Bane
SF Jaylen Wells
PF Santi Aldama
C Jaren Jackson Jr.
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. Dončić (27.8)
APG: L. James (8.5)
Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.5)
Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Jackson (22.4)
APG: J. Morant (7.4)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.6)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)
Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
