Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 25, 2024
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  225 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  225 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Lakers:  16-13 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  15-13 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  3-7 last 10


Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Lakers are entering this game with a 16-13 record overall this season and they are 7-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Pistons. LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 28 while Anthony Davis was next on the team with 19 points. LeBron James led the team in assists in that game with 11 while LeBron James led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 54.1% from the field, 46.7% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.8 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 13-16 this season and their O/U record is 12-17.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 15-13 record overall this season and they are 7-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Jonathan Kuminga led the team in points in that game with 26 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 16 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Trayce Jackson-Davis and Jonathan Kuminga each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.3% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 16-12 this season and their O/U record is 12-16.


Lakers vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 15-13 record overall, but that record still has them lower in the West at the moment. They are sitting in 8th place in the West and they have fallen a lot since their hot start to the season. Meanwhile, the Lakers have looked good in their games this season with their 16-13 record overall, but that record also has them lower in the West, just 1 spot ahead of the Warriors. They haven't looked good in their road games this year with their 7-9 road record and they are coming off a bad loss at home to the Pistons in their last one. Both of these teams have been disasters lately with the Warriors being a bit worse, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, but they are going to bring their best effort for this Christmas Day game and this is a good situation for them to bounce back at home. The Lakers haven't looked any better lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they have struggled a lot more in road games all season. The home advantage will help the Warriors get the win here, especially since they have had the Lakers number lately with 3 wins in a row against them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Lakers Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 25, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 120 Lakers 115.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Lakers: 21-14 ATS off a home loss. 26-18 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 15-6 1H ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 63-45 OVER in road games. 6-2 OVER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 25-16 OVER in December games.

Golden State Warriors: 10-17 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 15-26 1H ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 13-21 1H ATS off a home loss. 20-7 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 22-13 OVER off a home loss. 

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Lakers:  J. Hood-Schifino (SG) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Hayes (C) Out - Ankle. C. Wood (PF) Out - Knee. J. Vanderbilt (PF) Out - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  G. Payton II (PG) Day To Day - Calf.


Notable Quotes


"For the group, how do we create and generate good shots? I think it's not one thing, it’s probably a few things. I would probably point immediately to our shot profile. Over the last 13 [games], we're taking five more non-paint 2s – we’re shooting 39% on those.” - JJ Redick after his team’s loss against the Pistons in their game on Monday.


"We have Steph Curry on our team, so pass the ball. Move the ball. This is how we've played for 10 years and it's important for our young players to understand. We don't need contested 17-footers with 12 on the shot clock. That's a bad shot. When you have Steph Curry on the team, pass the ball.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Lakers
PG Austin Reaves
SG Max Christie
SF Rui Hachimura
PF LeBron James
C Anthony Davis

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Dennis Schroder
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Trayce Jackson-Davis

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: A. Davis (26.6)
APG: L. James (9)
Reb/G: A. Davis (11.8)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (21.8)
APG: S. Curry (6.6)
Reb/G: K. Looney (7.3)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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