Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/08/2024

Game Time: 9:08 pm ET, Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +124, Padres -148; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +125, Padres -150; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +125, Padres -150; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Los Angeles Dodgers:  98-64 (1st place, NL West)

San Diego Padres:  93-69 (2nd place, NL West)

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Los Angeles Dodgers:  7-3 last 10

San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 3-0 in their final series of the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 98-64 record overall and had a road record of 46-35. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Padres on Tuesday for the NLDS. The series is tied 1-1, the Dodgers won the series opener on Saturday and lost the 2nd game on Sunday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .781 OPS. Jack Flaherty was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Walker Buehler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 1 strikeout on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the San Diego Padres.

The Padres are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep 2-0 in their best 2 out of 3 game series against the Atlanta Braves in the Wild Card Round. They finished the regular season with a 93-69 record overall and had a home record of 45-36. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday for the National League Division Series. The series is tied 1-1, the Padres lost the 1st game on Saturday and won the 2nd game on Sunday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Yu Darvish was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Michael King is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 13-9 with a 2.95 ERA this season. His team won their only playoff game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 12 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres finished the regular season with a 93-69 record overall which got them into the playoffs through the Wild Card, also going 45-36 in their home games this season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers finished the regular season with a 98-64 record overall which won them the NL West and the number 1 seed with the best record in the entire MLB. They were also 46-35 in their road games this year. This series is all tied up 1-1 but the Padres put up a good fight in both of those road games and now they are going to have a chance to take the series lead at home. They have the better pitching matchup to help them do so. King is on the mound for the Padres and he is 13-9 with a 2.95 ERA and he has looked really good in his starts lately. He was pitching well to end the season, but he has also made a start in these playoffs already and he was lights out. He gave up no runs in 7 innings against the Braves and he has 12 strikeouts too. The Dodgers are going with Buehler in this one and he is 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA this season. He hasn't pitched much this year since he just came back from an injury, but he hasn't looked good in his few starts. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he hasn't pitched since September either and this long layoff will have a negative impact since he hasn't looked great this season already. The Padres have a good offense that will get to Buehler for some runs and King has been really tough to crack lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game. 

Dodgers Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, October 8, 2024 (9:08 pm ET start time) is Padres 6 Dodgers 2.

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Los Angeles Dodgers: 98-65 (-4.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 4-11 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 8-6 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. 35-17 OVER against division opponents. 25-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 31-19 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.

San Diego Padres: 96-69 (+17.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 68-51 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 56-38 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline after a win. 28-18 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 8-3 OVER after scoring 10 runs or more. 13-6 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.

Los Angeles Dodgers:  F. Freeman (1B) Questionable - Ankle. K. Kiermaier (CF) Questionable - Finger. B. Honeywell Jr. (SP) Undefined - Finger. B. Graterol (RP) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Kelly (RP) Out - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Undefined - Toe. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. D. May (SP) Out - Elbow. E. Sheehan (SP) Out - Elbow. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Sixty Day IL - Foot.

San Diego Padres:  X. Bogaerts (2B) Questionable - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Questionable - Elbow. H. Kim (2B) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. J. Brito (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. M. McCoy (2B) Ten Day IL - Back. S. Kolek (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. L. Patino (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

"There are some things that I think that we're going to dig into because I think at second base they had some things with his glove and giving away some pitches. So we're going to clean that up, and that's part of baseball, so it's on us to kind of clean that up and not give away what pitch he's going to throw." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Padres in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

“I was trying to see how he reacted to some of the pitches that I was throwing. On top of that, I was trying to keep him off-balance by holding a little bit longer. I think it worked pretty well.” - Yu Darvish after their win against the Dodgers in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

Shohei Ohtani (L) DH

Mookie Betts (R) RF

Freddie Freeman (L) 1B

Teoscar Hernández (R) LF

Max Muncy (L) 3B

Will Smith (R) C

Gavin Lux (L) 2B

Tommy Edman (S) CF

Miguel Rojas (R) SS

Luis Arraez (L) 1B

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Jurickson Profar (S) LF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Jackson Merrill (L) CF

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B

David Peralta (L) DH

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Batting Average:  Hunter Feduccia (.333)

Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (197)

Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (54)

RBI:  Shohei Ohtani (130)

Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (59)

Wins:  Gavin Stone (11)

Saves:  Evan Phillips (18)

ERA:  Eduardo Salazar (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.333)

Hits:  Manny Machado (163)

Home Runs:  Manny Machado (29)

RBI:  Manny Machado (105)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (22)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (14)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (36)

ERA:  Sean Reynolds (0.82)

Managers:

Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)