by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 30, 2024
Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 31, 2024
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 63-44 (1st place, NL West)
San Diego Padres: 57-51 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
San Diego Padres: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-44 record overall and have a road record of 29-24. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .770 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Clayton Kershaw is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the San Francisco Giants.
The Padres are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-51 record overall and have a home record of 26-28. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Matt Waldron is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Dylan Cease is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 10-8 with a 3.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 9 strikeouts on 0 hits through 9 innings played against the Washington Nationals.
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked really good in their games this season with their 63-44 record this season which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have looked good in their road games too with their 29-24 road record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 57-51 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL West. They haven't looked great in their home games though, going 26-28 in those this season. Both of these teams have been hot out of the All-Star break, each going 7-3 in their last 10 games, but the Padres do have the slightly better pitching matchup in this one which gives them the edge here. They are going with Cease in this one and he has been their ace all season. He is 10-8 with a 3.50 ERA and if anyone is going to give them their best chance to beat the Dodgers here, it is going to be him. He gave up no runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him lately and the team has had a ton of success with him too, winning 3 games in a row when he has started. The Dodgers also have a solid starter here with Kershaw on the mound, but Kershaw is much older in the backend of his career and has missed a lot of time this season due to injury too. He is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but that was also his only start this season. Cease has been really consistent in his starts lately and the Padres will bring their best effort with him starting, especially since they are playing their division rival who is also one of the best teams in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Dodgers Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 31, 2024 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 4 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 13-11 (+5.45 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 24 away games. 5-1 (+3.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 6 away games. 16-11 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 27 away games.
San Diego Padres: 20-33 (-18.70 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 53 home games. 21-32 (-17 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 53 home games. 17-6 to the over in their last 23 home games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: F. Freeman (1B) Out Tues - Personal. C. Taylor (LF) Early Aug - Groin. M. Rojas (SS) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.
San Diego Padres: W. Peralta (RP) Out indefinitely - Groin. Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Tatis Jr. (RF) Late July - Quadricep. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“We need every bit of it. Up and down the lineup we got production. That was a good thing.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday.
“It’s a guy that’s really going to help our bullpen. He gets righties, gets lefties (out), so that’s clearly a bonus for the club and the ability to use him. He’s pitched at the back end of games. I expect him to continue to do so. It’d be a mix of him in higher-leverage situations with Morejon and Estrada and add to the mix there.” - Mike Shildt on his team acquiring Jason Adam from the Rays.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
T Hernández (R) LF
G Lux (L) 2B
J Heyward (L) RF
K Hernández (R) 3B
C Biggio (L) 1B
J Outman (L) CF
A Barnes (R) C
N Ahmed (R) SS
San Diego Padres
L Arraez (L) 1B
J Profar (S) LF
J Cronenworth (L) 2B
M Machado (R) 3B
X Bogaerts (R) DH
J Merrill (L) CF
D Peralta (L) RF
H Kim (R) SS
K Higashioka (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.314)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (128)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (32)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (76)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (27)
Wins: Gavin Stone (9)
Saves: Evan Phillips (15)
ERA: Eduardo Salazar (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Matthew Batten (.333)
Hits: Jurickson Profar (113)
Home Runs: Jurickson Profar (18)
RBI: Jurickson Profar (67)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (20)
Wins: Dylan Cease (10)
Saves: Robert Suarez (23)
ERA: Sean Reynolds (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
