Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Friday, April 4, 2025
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  Apple TV+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -142, Phillies +120; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -140, Phillies +120; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -140, Phillies +120; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Los Angeles Dodgers:  8-0 (1st place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-1 (1st place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! ASA, Inc. is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 4-0 MLB RUN for +$4,150 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers:  8-0 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-1 last 10



Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis


The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with an 8-0 record overall and have a road record of 2-0. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .814 OPS. Blake Snell was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Yoshinobu Yamamoto is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA this season. His team won their 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 10 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Phillies won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1. They enter this game with a 4-1 record overall and have a home record of 2-0. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have the series finale of their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies still to be played on Thursday. The Phillies won the 1st game of that series on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .878 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 11 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Washington Nationals.


Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with the best record in the entire MLB. They have also been a good road team so far with their 2-0 road record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with a great start to the season. They have also looked good in their ballpark with their 2-0 home record so far. The Phillies will have Luzardo as their starter and he was good in his first start. He gave up 2 earned runs in 5 innings, but he did give up 5 hits too and that could put him in some trouble with this Dodgers lineup. The Dodgers have Yamamoto starting and he already has 2 starts under his belt this season due to his start when the Dodgers were in Japan. He is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA between the two starts and pitched well in his last start too. The Phillies have had the better offense to start the season, but this Dodgers lineup is riddled with talent and they aren't going to go down easier. The Dodgers also have a lot more depth with their pitching staff, and all the momentum is on their side until they finally lose their first game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game. 

Dodgers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, April 4, 2025 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 5 Phillies 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

MLB Betting Trends


Los Angeles Dodgers: 192-101 (+18.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 49-31 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. 65-45 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 164-117 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 95-56 OVER when playing against a team  with a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies: 34-47 (-6 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 94-75 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse. 79-82 (-15.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team  with a winning record. 11-5 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher. 25-18 OVER vs. a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season  (NL).

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Dodgers:  F. Freeman (1B) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Sheehan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Sixty Day IL - Toe. E. Henriquez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Foot. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Phillips (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. M. Kopech (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  W. Wilson (LF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. R. Suarez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back.


Notable Quotes


"I was dumbfounded with the way we were playing. I didn’t recognize that club in the first couple innings. And then just dumbfounded we found a way to win that game. We had no business winning that game. But to our guys’ credit, we just kept fighting.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Wednesday.


“This was the best Major League game he’s played. That’s exactly what he needs to do. He needs to move runners, put the ball in play, sacrifice, play good defense.” - Rob Thomson on Johan Rojas after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Michael Conforto (L) LF
Will Smith (R) C
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Enrique Hernández (R) 1B
Andy Pages (R) CF

Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) LF
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  Will Smith (.450)
Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (10)
Home Runs:  Tommy Edman (4)
RBI:  Teoscar Hernández (8)
Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (2)
Wins:  Anthony Banda (2)
Saves:  Tanner Scott (2)
ERA:  Tyler Glasnow (0.00)

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.667)
Hits:  Edmundo Sosa (9)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (3)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (7)
Stolen Bases:  Johan Rojas (1)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  José Alvarado (0.00)

Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2025 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.