by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Apr 27, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 28, 2024
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Clippers +6, Mavericks -6; Over/Under: 209.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Clippers +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under: 209 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Clippers +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under: 209.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Clippers: 51-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Mavericks: 50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Clippers: 5-5 last 10
Dallas Mavericks: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis
The Clippers are entering this game with a 51-31 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Dallas Mavericks in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Mavericks in game 3 of this series, Norman Powell and James Harden each led the team in points in that game with 21 while Ivica Zubac was next on the team with 19 points. Paul George and James Harden each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Kawhi Leonard led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.7% from the field, 34.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 39-46 this season and their O/U record is 36-47-2.
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Clippers in game 3 of this series, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 22 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 21 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.3% from the field, 26.5% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 50-35 this season and their O/U record is 36-48-1.
Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Clippers and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Mavericks have a 2-1 series lead after winning game 3 of this series on their home court. The Mavericks were shocked in game 1 by the Clippers but they bounced back in game 2 by flipping the home advantage to their side, now they have a 2-1 series lead after a big win on their home court in game 3. The Mavericks have looked great on their home court all season with their 25-16 home record and now they have all the momentum on their side in this series. The Clippers won game 1 without Kawhi on the court but they have lost 2 games in a row now with him playing. He could be out for this game but it really makes no difference for the Mavericks who will adapt to the lineup they are facing. The Mavericks have been rolling for weeks now as they were one of the hottest teams coming into the playoffs and now they are showing why they can be a real threat in the West. The Mavericks responded to the way the Clippers covered them in game 1 and the Clippers have had no response in the last 2 games. The Clippers have been a really up and down team all season anyway, going through many hot and cold streaks, and right now they are in a cold streak at the worst time. The Mavericks have been rolling for weeks now and now that they have some rhythm in this series, the Clippers aren't going to stop them in this game on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.
Clippers Mavericks Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 28, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 113 Clippers 99.
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NBA Betting Trends
Los Angeles Clippers: 7-14 ATS as an underdog. 7-20 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 12-29 ATS after playing a road game. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 17-3 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 10-5 UNDER off a road loss.
Dallas Mavericks: 35-20 ATS as a favorite. 10-2 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 20-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. 24-16 UNDER in home games. 15-3 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 19-8 UNDER after allowing 95 points or less.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Clippers: K. Leonard (SF) Ques Sun - Knee.
Dallas Mavericks: O. Prosper (PF) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Ques Sun - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.
Notable Quotes
“We’ve got to channel our aggression in other ways. It’s getting chippy. I like the physicality. I like the tough possessions. I like all of that. But we’ve got to make sure we’re not getting the technical fouls, we’re not getting thrown out of the game, because everybody’s important.” - Tyronn Lue after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in game 3 of this series on Friday.
“We’re all competing for each inch to find a way to win. This series is going to be more mental as it goes on just because of the physicality. I thought the guys did a great job of protecting one another.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in game 3 of this series on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Clippers
PG James Harden
SG Terance Mann
SF Paul George
PF Kawhi Leonard
C Ivica Zubac
Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington
C Daniel Gafford
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: K. Leonard (23.7)
APG: J. Harden (8.5)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (9.2)
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
