by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Nov 02, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Liberty +9, Ole Miss -9; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Liberty +9.5, Ole Miss -9.5; Over/Under: 67.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Liberty +9.5, Ole Miss -9.5; Over/Under: 68.5 points
Season Record
Liberty Flames: 7-2 (3rd place, FBS Independents)
Ole Miss Rebels: 6-2 (3rd place, SEC West)
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Liberty Flames vs Ole Miss Rebels Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Liberty Flames: won at home on Oct. 30 against the Massachusetts Minutemen 62-17.
Ole Miss Rebels: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the Auburn Tigers 31-20.
Liberty Flames Analysis
Liberty is coming into this game with a 7-2 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Liberty are coming into this game winning 4 of their last 5 games and are currently on a 2 game winning streak after wins against the North Texas Mean Green and against UMass in their last game. They won that game 62-17 in a game that they jumped out to an early lead in the first quarter and never looked back as they dominated them in every quarter. Malik Willis played a great game in that one as he completed 19/27 passes for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns. Nate Hampton and Kaidon Salter both got some snaps at the quarterback position in that game and they each threw 1 touchdown pass as well. TJ Green led the team in rushing in that game with 60 yards and 2 touchdowns on 5 carries. DJ Stubbs led the receivers with 72 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions while Noah Frith had 69 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Khaleb Coleman, Brody Brumm, Demario Douglas, and Johnny Huntley III all caught the other touchdown passes in that game with 1 each. Storey Jackson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Javon Scruggs was right behind with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. AAkil Washington led the defense in sacks with the only 1 in that game while Duron Lowe came away with the lone interception for them. They have scored 337 points in their 9 games this season averaging 37.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 160 points against them allowing 17.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 444.8 PPG while their defense is allowing 300 YPG.
Ole Miss Rebels Analysis
Ole Miss is coming into this game with a 6-2 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are getting a break from their conference schedule with this game but this will be their final non-conference game of the season for them. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and just had their 3 game winning streak snapped by Auburn with that loss in their last game. They went down early in that game in the first quarter and could never recover from it as they trailed the entire game and went on to lose it. Matt Corral struggled in that game as he completed 21/37 passes for 289 yards and 1 interception. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 12 carries while Jarod Conner and Corral each ran in 1 touchdown each. Jahcour Pearson had a nice day as he led the receivers with 135 yards on 7 receptions while Casey Kelly had 81 yards on 7 receptions. Deantre Prince led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Sam Williams and Tylan Knight both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each but no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 313 points in their 8 games this season averaging 39.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 229 points against them allowing 28.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 531.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 429.6 YPG.
Liberty vs Ole Miss Prediction
Liberty is coming into this game as a 9 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Liberty has a really good defense on their team and are allowing less than 20 points per game and are not really letting their opponents gain a lot of yards on them either. Their offense is really good as well and they have a talented quarterback in Malik Willis leading their offense. Ole Miss also has a lot of talent on their side but they have started to struggle a bit in their last few games. They have a great offense but they will have a tough time scoring a lot on this good Liberty defense. Ole Miss also has an awful defense so Liberty will be able to score here and keep this game close at least. The best bet to place in this game is on Liberty to cover the spread here.
Liberty Ole Miss Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 38 Liberty 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Liberty Flames: 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 39-16 ATS in all games. 22-7 ATS as an underdog. 17-5 ATS as a road underdog. 22-10 ATS in road games.
Ole Miss Rebels: 20-32 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 114-136 O/U in all games. 26-30 O/U when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 57-62 O/U as a favorite. 71-90 O/U after playing a conference game.
Key Injuries
Liberty Flames: K. Zachary (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. A. Jackson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Bennett (QB) Ques Sat - Personal.
Ole Miss Rebels: M. Corral (QB) Prob Sat - Ankle injury. B. Sanders (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. D. Drummond (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Mingo (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Notable Quotes
"That will be probably the strangest thing, being in the visitor's locker room and on the visiting sideline. Truthfully, I told our kids this morning in the class I teach, I'm real excited to go back and see people.” - Hugh Freeze on returning to Ole Miss for a game against them this week.
"We're good, but not great. But we're close. We've got to get healthy. If we can do that and execute, then we could be a really special team." - Lane Kiffin after their win against LSU.
Starting Lineups
Liberty Flames
WR Shaa, Kevin
WR Frith, Noah
WR Stubbs, DJ
TE Huntley, Johnny
QB Willis, Malik
RB Mack, Joshua
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Braylon Sanders
WR Drummond, Dontario
WR Jonathan Mingo
TE Kelly, Casey
QB Corral, Matt
RB Ealy, Jerrion
Statistical Leaders
Liberty Flames
Passing: M. Willis (1986)
Rushing: M. Willis (684)
Receiving: D. Douglas (567)
Touchdowns: M. Willis (9)
Ole Miss Rebels
Passing: M. Corral (2202)
Rushing: M. Corral (519)
Receiving: D. Drummond (658)
Touchdowns: M. Corral (10)
Coaches:
Liberty Flames: Hugh Freeze (3rd season)
Ole Miss Rebels: Lane Kiffin (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
