by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 26, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 29, 2024
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders -1.5, Saints +1.5; Over/Under: 38 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders -1.5, Saints +1.5; Over/Under: 38 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders -1, Saints +1; Over/Under: 37.5 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 3-12 (4th place, AFC West)
New Orleans Saints: 5-10 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 19-14.
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 34-0.
Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 3-12 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 1-7 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 19-14. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 24/38 passes for 257 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ameer Abdullah led the team in rushing yards with 38 and 1 TD. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Isaiah Pola-Mao led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while K'Lavon Chaisson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Saints are entering this game with a 5-10 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 34-0. Spencer Rattler was the starting QB and he completed 15/30 passes for 153 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Spencer Rattler led the team in rushing yards with 28. Foster Moreau led the receivers with 33 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Demario Davis led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Raiders vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints have looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-10 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC South and out of playoff contention. Their season has been derailed by a lot of injuries and they haven't been able to keep up with the better teams in the league, but they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Packers in their last one, losing 34-0, and they will be looking to bounce back at home against one of the worst teams in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-12 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a win over the Jaguars last week, but they were at home for that win and the Jags are also one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. The Raiders already got their win at home last week so the Saints are going to be the more desperate team here, especially coming off a bad shutout loss in their last one. The Saints have looked better at home in the dome this season and Rattler will be looking to prove himself still. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 17 Raiders 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 6-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 5-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-1 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 15-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 15-6 UNDER after playing a game at home. 12-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
New Orleans Saints: 19-29 ATS in all games. 3-7 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 1-4 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 30-19 UNDER in all games. 17-7 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-2 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: J. Meredith (G) Injured - Ankle. K. Mauga (LB) Injured - Calf. J. Powers-Johnson (OG) Injured - Quadricep.
New Orleans Saints: L. Patrick (OL) Injured - Knee. A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Groin. D. Carr (QB) Injured - Hand. M. Valdes-Scantling (WR) Injured - Chest. N. Shepherd (DT) Injured - Eye. P. Turner (DE) Injured - Ankle. J. Johnson (TE) Injured - Foot. E. McCoy (C) Injured - Elbow. C. Olave (WR) Injured - Head.
Notable Quotes
“Just to come in here and win. The vibes are way better.” - Brock Bowers after their win against the Jags in their last game.
“We dressed the 48 guys that we dressed. We’re not going to make excuses. You guys know me well enough by now. I'm not going to make excuses about that. We didn't perform well enough.” - Darren Rizzi after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
TE Bowers, Brock
TE Mayer, Michael
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Mattison, Alexander
New Orleans Saints
WR Austin Jr., Kevin
WR Pettis, Dante
WR Wilson Jr., Cedrick
TE Moreau, Foster
QB Rattler, Spencer
RB Miller, Kendre
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (2013)
Rushing: A. Mattison (368)
Receiving: B. Bowers (1067)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (5)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (2145)
Rushing: A. Kamara (950)
Receiving: A. Kamara (543)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (8)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
New Orleans Saints: Darren Rizzi (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
