by AAA Sports
Sunday, Nov 26, 2023Cold weather is calling, and with it comes the home stretch of the NFL season. A look at one of the key games in each of the final six weeks of the season, with each team mentioned as having a legitimate chance of getting to and winning the Super Bowl.
Week 13
San Francisco (8-3) at Philadelphia (10-1) – Isn’t it about time that Brock Purdy enter the MVP discussion? Purdy has completed more than 70 percent of his passes this season, including a ridiculous 75 percent during the month of November. The Niners (1.5-point favorites) have momentum (three straight wins) heading into Philadelphia, where the Eagles are undefeated this year. Philly is a solid 6-2-3 ATS this season.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – San Francisco +450, Philadelphia +450
Week 14
Buffalo (6-6) at Kansas City (8-3) – Oddsmakers still like the Chiefs to make it out of the AFC, even though the offense has hit some rough patches. KC still has a top 10 offense, but this year the heavy lifting has been done by its Top 5 defense. No one is too worried about that pre-Thanksgiving loss at home to the Eagles, especially because the schedule from here on in is not all that taxing. The Bills, though, have to dig deep in what has been an up-and-down season.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Kansas City +45, Buffalo +2500
Week 15
Baltimore (9-3) at Jacksonville (8-3) – Odd home/road split for the Jaguars, who are .500 at home but undefeated on the road. Indianapolis and Houston keep knocking on the door in the AFC South, but after this one the Jags coast home with games against Tampa Bay, Carolina and Tennessee. No game is easy in the AFC North, and Baltimore has a brutal close-out in Weeks 16-18 – San Francisco, Miami and Pittsburgh.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Baltimore +850, Jacksonville +2000
Week 16
Dallas (8-3) at Miami (8-3) – The Cowboys get a chance to warm up after a Week 15 game in Buffalo. With the exception of a Week 4 brain fart in Buffalo, the Dolphins have taken care of business this year. Its losses have been against solid teams (Philadelphia and Kansas City), and the offense has been consistent enough to score more than 30 points six times. Dallas has scored nearly twice as much as its opponents and is solid both ATS (7-4) and SU.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Dallas +850, Miami +900
Week 17
Detroit (8-3) at Dallas (8-3) – Second straight toughie for the Cowboys, although some are getting down on the Lions after their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers. In fact, you have to go all the way back to Opening Day to find a really good team that the Lions have defeated. They should be able to get things back on track with games against the Saints and Bears, and figure to be still in control on the NFC North by the time Week 17 rolls around.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Dallas +850, Detroit +1200
Week 18
Pittsburgh (7-4) at Baltimore (8-3) – Steelers/Ravens in the last week? Makes perfect sense. The Steelers have been doing it with baling wire and duct tape all year, giving up more points than they score but somehow winning more games than they lose. This game will no doubt have playoff implications and may decide home field in the first round of the playoffs.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Pittsburgh +7500, Baltimore +850
Week 13
San Francisco (8-3) at Philadelphia (10-1) – Isn’t it about time that Brock Purdy enter the MVP discussion? Purdy has completed more than 70 percent of his passes this season, including a ridiculous 75 percent during the month of November. The Niners (1.5-point favorites) have momentum (three straight wins) heading into Philadelphia, where the Eagles are undefeated this year. Philly is a solid 6-2-3 ATS this season.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – San Francisco +450, Philadelphia +450
Week 14
Buffalo (6-6) at Kansas City (8-3) – Oddsmakers still like the Chiefs to make it out of the AFC, even though the offense has hit some rough patches. KC still has a top 10 offense, but this year the heavy lifting has been done by its Top 5 defense. No one is too worried about that pre-Thanksgiving loss at home to the Eagles, especially because the schedule from here on in is not all that taxing. The Bills, though, have to dig deep in what has been an up-and-down season.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Kansas City +45, Buffalo +2500
Week 15
Baltimore (9-3) at Jacksonville (8-3) – Odd home/road split for the Jaguars, who are .500 at home but undefeated on the road. Indianapolis and Houston keep knocking on the door in the AFC South, but after this one the Jags coast home with games against Tampa Bay, Carolina and Tennessee. No game is easy in the AFC North, and Baltimore has a brutal close-out in Weeks 16-18 – San Francisco, Miami and Pittsburgh.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Baltimore +850, Jacksonville +2000
Week 16
Dallas (8-3) at Miami (8-3) – The Cowboys get a chance to warm up after a Week 15 game in Buffalo. With the exception of a Week 4 brain fart in Buffalo, the Dolphins have taken care of business this year. Its losses have been against solid teams (Philadelphia and Kansas City), and the offense has been consistent enough to score more than 30 points six times. Dallas has scored nearly twice as much as its opponents and is solid both ATS (7-4) and SU.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Dallas +850, Miami +900
Week 17
Detroit (8-3) at Dallas (8-3) – Second straight toughie for the Cowboys, although some are getting down on the Lions after their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers. In fact, you have to go all the way back to Opening Day to find a really good team that the Lions have defeated. They should be able to get things back on track with games against the Saints and Bears, and figure to be still in control on the NFC North by the time Week 17 rolls around.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Dallas +850, Detroit +1200
Week 18
Pittsburgh (7-4) at Baltimore (8-3) – Steelers/Ravens in the last week? Makes perfect sense. The Steelers have been doing it with baling wire and duct tape all year, giving up more points than they score but somehow winning more games than they lose. This game will no doubt have playoff implications and may decide home field in the first round of the playoffs.
Consensus odds to win Super Bowl – Pittsburgh +7500, Baltimore +850
