Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/02/2024

Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024

Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +17.5, Tennessee -17.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +17.5, Tennessee -17.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +17.5, Tennessee -17.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Kentucky Wildcats:  3-5 (1-5) (15th place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  6-1 (3-1) (4th place, SEC)

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Kentucky Wildcats:  lost their last game at home against the Auburn Tigers 24-10.

Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Alabama Crimson Tide 24-17.

Kentucky is entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Auburn 24-10. Brock Vandagriff was the starting QB and he completed 9/17 passes for 120 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Gavin Wimsatt who completed 3/10 passes for 34 yards and 1 INT. Jason Patterson led the team in rushing yards with 38. Dane Key led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jonquis Hardaway led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jamon Dumas-Johnson, J.J. Weaver, Keeshawn Silver, and Deone Walker each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jonquis Hardaway came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Tennessee is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Alabama 24-17. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 14/27 passes for 194 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Dylan Sampson led the team in rushing yards with 139 and 2 TDs. Bru McCoy led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jermod McCoy and Will Brooks each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while James Pearce Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jermod McCoy and Will Brooks each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 17.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them near the top of the SEC. They have been rolling teams all season and they have looked great in their home games too, going 4-0 in those. Meanwhile, Kentucky hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 3-5 record overall and their 1-5 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They had 2 of their 3 wins come in non-conference games while all 5 of their losses have been against SEC opponents. Their defense has looked good at times, but they are coming off a 24-10 loss to Auburn at home in their last one, and their offense has been a big issue all season. They don't put up a lot of points in their games and that will be an issue against Tennessee who has an offense that can put up points. Tennessee also has a great defense that has kept them in a lot of their tougher games so Kentucky won't be able to get much done here. Tennessee is coming off a big win over Alabama in their last one too so that will give them some momentum here, and they are also coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to settle down off that win and prepare for this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Kentucky Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 41 Kentucky 10.

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Kentucky Wildcats: 5-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 5-9 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 3-6 1H ATS in games played on a grass field. 22-12 UNDER in all lined games. 10-5 UNDER as an underdog. 14-6 UNDER after playing a game at home. 

Tennessee Volunteers: 22-11 ATS in all lined games. 19-8 ATS as a favorite. 8-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 15-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 5-0 UNDER after a bye week. 5-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand. 

Kentucky Wildcats:  D. Waller (DB) Probable - Undisclosed. J. Brown (LB) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Scott (DB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Gadson (DL) Probable - Undisclosed. N. Addison (DB) Probable - Undisclosed. D. Walker (DT) Probable - Undisclosed. J. Dingle (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (LB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Soles (OLB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Weaver (OLB) Out - Undisclosed. G. Mincey (OL) Out - Undisclosed. M. Hairston (DB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hayes (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Dunn (DB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Trayanum (RB) Out - Hand. D. Henry-Young (DL) Out - Undisclosed.

Tennessee Volunteers:  W. Satterwhite (OL) Probable - Undisclosed. C. Herring (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Spillman (LB) Out - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out - Knee. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.

“Bottom line, we got beat. Didn’t play good enough in any phase for us to win, and that’s discouraging. It didn’t surprise me that they were going to play hard. We just have to match that.” - Mark Stoops after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game. 

“(That's how) they've played all year. How they played tonight kept us in the ballgame when, offensively, we were a little bit off.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game. 

WR Brown, Barion

WR Key, Dane 

WR Maclin, Ja'Mori

TE Kattus, Josh 

TE Dingle, Jordan 

QB Vandagriff, Brock

RB Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie

WR McCoy, Bru 

WR Brazzell II, Chris

WR White, Squirrel 

TE Kitselman, Miles

QB Iamaleava, Nico 

RB Sampson, Dylan

FB Harrison, Cole

Passing: B. Vandagriff (1236)

Rushing: D. Sumo-Karngbaye (419)

Receiving: D. Key (587)

Touchdowns: D. Sumo-Karngbaye (4)

Passing: N. Iamaleava (1402)

Rushing: D. Sampson (838)

Receiving: D. Thornton (365)

Touchdowns: D. Sampson (17)

Coaches:

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (12th season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)