by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 23, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024
Venue: Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kentucky +17.5, Ole Miss -17.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kentucky +17.5, Ole Miss -17.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kentucky +17.5, Ole Miss -17.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Kentucky Wildcats: 2-2 (0-2) (15th place, SEC)
Mississippi Rebels: 4-0 (0-0) (9th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Kentucky Wildcats: won their last game at home against the Ohio Bobcats 41-6.
Mississippi Rebels: won their last game at home against the Georgia Southern Eagles 52-13.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi Rebels Preview and Analysis
Kentucky is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Ohio 41-6. Brock Vandagriff was the starting QB and he completed 17/24 passes for 237 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jamarion Wilcox led the team in rushing yards with 82. Dane Key led the receivers with 145 receiving yards on 7 receptions. D'Eryk Jackson and Jamon Dumas-Johnson each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Maxwell Hairston came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Southern 52-13. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 22/31 passes for 382 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. Tre Harris led the receivers with 225 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 2 TDs. Chris Paul Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Chris Paul Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Brandon Turnage came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Kentucky vs Mississippi Prediction
The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 17.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and now they are going to be looking to start their conference schedule off with a win. They have been blowing out a lot of teams to start the season with that Ole Miss offense rolling as it usually does, but now they have a much improved defense to go with that great offense too. Meanwhile, Kentucky hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall and they are already 0-2 in conference play. They have been blowing out bad teams in their 2 wins, but both losses were against SEC opponents and their offense was terrible. They put up a really good fight in their home game against Georgia, losing 13-12 against one of the best teams in the country, but they were also embarrassed at home by South Carolina just before that, losing 31-6 in that game. They have already played 2 conference games this season, but now they are playing their 1st conference game on the road which is also their first road game of the season. This isn't going to be an easy game for them with that offense struggling, and Ole Miss will eventually pull away to the point where Kentucky won't be able to come back. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game.
Kentucky Mississippi Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 41 Kentucky 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kentucky Wildcats: 3-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 1-8 1H ATS off a home win. 4-8 1H ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 9-5 UNDER as an underdog. 12-6 UNDER against conference opponents. 7-2 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.
Mississippi Rebels: 4-0 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 7-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 12-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 15-8 UNDER as a favorite. 5-0 UNDER off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 7-3 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: G. Mincey (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Hairston (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Burton (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Patterson (RB) Out - Undisclosed. B. Vandagriff (QB) Probable - Undisclosed. K. Silver (DL) Probable - Undisclosed. J. Hayes (DL) Out - Undisclosed. T. Gadson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. C. Ford (OL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Henry-Young (DL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Smith (LB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Trayanum (RB) Out - Hand. B. White (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Gilmore (WR) Out - Collarbone.
Mississippi Rebels: I. Hartrup (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Price (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. James (OL) Questionable - Hand. L. Diggs (RB) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It’s good to get back in the win column, obviously. I feel like the last couple of weeks, our guys have really worked hard to get some things corrected. We want to be more consistent. Obviously, today it was far from perfect. But, a lot of young guys got in there tonight and I think that’s extremely important.” - Mark Stoops after his team’s win against Ohio in their last game.
“Our players had good energy and it was obvious. We may not have played smart all the time with 11 penalties but with the exception of one throw, Jaxson was solid. Tre was electric. He was elite today.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against GA Southern in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Brown, Barion
WR Key, Dane
WR Maclin, Ja'Mori
TE Kattus, Josh
TE Dingle, Jordan
QB Vandagriff, Brock
RB Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie
Mississippi Rebels
WR Wells Jr., Antwane
WR Harris, Tre
WR Lee, Cayden
TE Prieskorn, Caden
QB Dart, Jaxson
RB Bentley IV, Ulysses
Statistical Leaders
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: B. Vandagriff (550)
Rushing: D. Sumo-Karngbaye (274)
Receiving: D. Key (264)
Touchdowns: D. Sumo-Karngbaye (3)
Mississippi Rebels
Passing: J. Dart (1554)
Rushing: H. Parrish (427)
Receiving: T. Harris (628)
Touchdowns: H. Parrish (7)
Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (12th season)
Mississippi Rebels: Lane Kiffin (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
