Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Feb 04, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 5, 2022
Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU +4.5, TCU -4.5; Over/Under:  131 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU +4.5, TCU -4.5; Over/Under:  128.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU +4.5, TCU -4.5; Over/Under:  128.5 points
 

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  11-10 (8th place, Big 12)
TCU Horned Frogs:  15-4 (4th place, Big 12)
 
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Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  2-3 last 5
TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Kansas State Wildcats Analysis

KSU is coming into this game with an 11-10 record overall and they are 3-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 10th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-6 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. Their 3 losses in that span were against the Kansas Jayhawks, the Baylor Bears, and the Ole Miss Rebels while their win came against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Nijel Pack led the team in points in that game with 22 while Mark Smith was next on the team with 19 points. Mike McGuirl led the team in assists in that game with 4 and he also led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45% from the field, 39.1% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 67.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.3 PPG against them. KSU has an ATS record of 10-9-2 this season and their O/U record is 9-12.
 
 

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

TCU is coming into this game with a 15-4 record overall and they are 8-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Texas Longhorns while their 3 wins in that span came against the Iowa State Cyclones, the LSU Tigers, and the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Damion Baugh led the team in points in that game with 20 while Eddie Lampkin Jr. was next on the team with 14 points. Mike Miles led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Lampkin Jr. led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.8% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.8 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 11-6-2 this season and their O/U record is 8-10-1.
 

 

Kansas State vs TCU Prediction

TCU has been playing very well recently winning 3 of their last 4 games but they have taken down some good opponents in those games. They won all 3 of those games by double digits and beat ranked opponents in 2 of them. They also won 2 of those games on the road but they will be at home for this game and they have been great at home this season. They are getting a KSU team that has not been playing well recently and just snapped a 3 game losing streak with a win in their last game. That win came against a mediocre Oklahoma State team and KSU had struggled in their 2 games on the road prior to that win. KSU will struggle again on the road here and TCU should win this game by double digits as they have been crushing teams recently.
 
Kansas State TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 5, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 76 KSU 60.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Kansas State Wildcats: 6-3 ATS against conference opponents. 34-21 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 8-2 ATS after playing a home game.
TCU Horned Frogs: 31-43 ATS in all games. 14-24 ATS as a favorite. 7-18 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 133-185 ATS in all home games. 18-24 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas State Wildcats:  M. Edwards (G) out for season - Undisclosed injury. S. Miguel (G) Mid Feb - Ankle injury. L. Landers (F) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Harris (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. S. Lewis (F) out for season - Knee injury.
TCU Horned Frogs:  S. Wells (G) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. M. Evans (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"(We made) big plays down the stretch, especially on the defensive end. You go back to the close games we've lost (and) we didn't get the stops at the right time, and we had five stops to finish the first half and we had stops to finish the game." - Bruce Weber on his team’s win against Oklahoma State.
 
 
"Each day, we have to get better. We have to continue to get better. We cannot have any setbacks. We have to stay locked in." - Jamie Dixon on his team’s offense recently.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas State Wildcats
D. Bradford 
S. Miguel 
M. Nowell
N. Pack 
M. Smith
 
TCU Horned Frogs
D. Baugh 
E. Lampkin 
M. Miles 
E. Miller 
C. O'Bannon
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: N. Pack (16.8)
APG: M. Nowell (5.1)
Reb/G: M. Smith (8.3)
 
TCU Horned Frogs
PPG: M. Miles (15.4)
APG: M. Miles (4.2)
Reb/G: E. Miller (6.7)
 
Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Bruce Weber (10th season)
TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (6th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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