Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +130, Guardians -155; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +130, Guardians -155; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +125, Guardians -150; Over/Under:  9 runs

Kansas City Royals:  72-58 (3rd place, AL Central)

Cleveland Guardians:  75-55 (1st place, AL Central)

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Kansas City Royals:  7-3 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10

The Royals are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-58 record overall and have a road record of 31-30. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday with the series opener of this series and the 2nd game still to be played on Monday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Alec Marsh is their starting pitcher on Monday in game 2 while Michael Lorenzen is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 75-55 record overall and have a home record of 40-21. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Royals on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series and the 2nd game still to be played on Monday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Monday in game 2 while Gavin Williams is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-6 with a 5.13 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 72-58 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They are also fighting to catch the Guardians in 1st place of the division, but they haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 31-30 road record. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 75-55 record overall which has them leading the AL Central. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season with their 40-21 home record. This is a big series for both teams as it is going to have playoff implications with the Wild Card and possible winner of the AL Central. The Royals are catching the Guardians at the right time though since the Guardians are only 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Royals have been getting hot, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. They are also going to have Lorenzen on the mound here and he has looked good in his starts lately. He is 7-6 with a 3.47 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs since coming to the Royals. He once again gave up no runs in his last start and his team has won 2 games in a row with him starting too. The Guardians are going with Williams in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 2-6 with a 5.13 ERA and has been really up and down in his starts. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him lately and the Guardians have also lost 2 games in a row with him starting. The Royals are already the hotter team coming into this series and with the pitching matchup in this one, everything points to the Royals cutting down on that Guardians lead in the division here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game. 

Royals Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 27, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Royals 5 Guardians 2.

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Kansas City Royals: 16-7 (+8.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 23 road games. 73-55 (+11.24 units) on the runline in their last 128 games. 19-9 to the over in their last 28 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 36-22 to the over in their last 62 home games. 7-2 to the first 5 over in their last 9 home games. 

Kansas City Royals:  H. Renfroe (RF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. H. Harvey (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Altavilla (RP) Mid Sep - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Taylor (RP) Late June - Bicep.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Cobb (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. C. Carrasco (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“A lot of contact today, so give them credit. But it was a very unfortunate run for Seth because a lot of that contact wasn’t hard.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“It’s honestly fun because having caught Clase a bunch, I get to explain, yeah, he’s going to throw a back-foot fastball, which isn’t a thing. He throws them at 102 (mph) and we get to see why he’s the best in the world.” - David Fry after their win against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

Michael Massey (L) 2B

Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS

Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B

Salvador Perez (R) C

MJ Melendez (L) LF

Freddy Fermin (R) DH

Maikel Garcia (R) 3B

Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Tyler Gentry (R) RF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Lane Thomas (R) CF

José Ramírez (S) 3B

David Fry (R) 1B

Josh Naylor (L) DH

Jhonkensy Noel (R) RF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

Tyler Freeman (R) SS

Austin Hedges (R) C

Batting Average:  Bobby Witt (.347)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (180)

Home Runs:  Bobby Witt (26)

RBI:  Vinnie Pasquantino (96)

Stolen Bases:  Maikel Garcia (30)

Wins:  Seth Lugo (14)

Saves:  James McArthur (18)

ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.304)

Hits:  José Ramírez (136)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (33)

RBI:  José Ramírez (103)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (32)

Wins:  Ben Lively (11)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (38)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)