Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2024

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 14, 2024

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 

Where to Watch:  BSKC

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +114, Red Sox -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +114, Red Sox -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +114, Red Sox -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Kansas City Royals:  52-43 (3rd place, AL Central)

Boston Red Sox:  51-42 (3rd place, AL East)

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Kansas City Royals:  6-4 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

The Royals are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-43 record overall and have a road record of 21-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Royals won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Seth Lugo is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Brady Singer is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-42 record overall and have a home record of 22-25. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Red Sox lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-5 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 11 strikeouts on 9 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Royals have looked good in their games this season with their 52-43 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked as good in their road games though, going 21-25 in road games this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 51-42 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot too. They have looked worse in their home games this year, going 22-25 in their home games. The Royals already took the 1st game of this series on Friday and they will be looking to finish off strong going into the break with a series win here. They have been getting hot over the last week and their offense has been doing well. They also have the more favorable pitching matchup with Singer on the mound who is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him this year since he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs. His team has also won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Red Sox have Bello on the mound here and the team has been finding success with him since he 9-5 this season, but he also has a 5.40 ERA and has been giving up a lot of runs. His team has won 2 games in a row with him starting, but he also gave up 5 earned runs in his last start and that will be trouble against this Royals offense that has been hitting well lately. The Red Sox have struggled a lot more in their own ballpark this season and a big part of that has been their effort on defense which won't help keep the Royals off the board here either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game.

Royals Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 14, 2024 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Royals 6 Red Sox 3.

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Kansas City Royals: 53-39 (+6.74 units) on the runline in their last 92 games. 4-1 (+3.25 units) on the moneyline in their last 5 games. 9-4 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 13 games.

Boston Red Sox: 37-47 (-16.60 units) on the runline in their last 84 games. 28-34 (-8.15 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 62 games. 30-22 to the over in their last 52 games. 

Kansas City Royals:  S. Perez (C) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Altavilla (RP) Mid Sep - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Taylor (RP) Late June - Bicep. J. Lyles (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

“Every win is huge, whether it's April or July. But when you're squarely right behind a team and you beat them, that's a good step forward for us.” - Matt Quatraro after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

“Obviously the production of Raffy and Jarren is lower. We've just got to find a way to do it. We've just got to be patient and keep working.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Friday.

A Frazier (L) DH

B Witt Jr. (R) SS

V Pasquantino (L) 1B

S Perez (R) C

M Massey (L) 2B

H Renfroe (R) RF

M Melendez (L) LF

M Garcia (R) 3B

K Isbel (L) CF

R Refsnyder (R) RF

J Duran (L) LF

T O'Neill (R) DH

R Devers (L) 3B

C Wong (R) C

R Gonzalez (R) 1B

J Westbrook (R) 2B

C Rafaela (R) CF

D Hamilton (L) SS

Batting Average:  Bobby Witt (.327)

Hits:  Bobby Witt (124)

Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (16)

RBI:  Bobby Witt (63)

Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (22)

Wins:  Seth Lugo (11)

Saves:  James McArthur (17)

ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.309)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (107)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (21)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (58)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (9)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (18)

ERA:  Brennan Bernardino (1.72)

Managers:

Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)