Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/05/2025

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 5, 2025

Venue:  Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +10.5, Broncos -10.5; Over/Under:  40 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +10.5, Broncos -10.5; Over/Under:  40 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs +10, Broncos -10; Over/Under:  40 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  15-1 (1st place, AFC West)

Denver Broncos:  9-7 (3rd place, AFC West)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 29-10.

Denver Broncos:  lost their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 30-24 in overtime. 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 15-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 8-0 in their home games, 7-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 29-10. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 29/38 passes for 320 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 20 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Roland-Wallace led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Mike Danna led the defense in sacks with 2. Justin Reid came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Broncos are entering this game with a 9-7 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 30-24 in OT. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 24/31 passes for 219 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing yards with 69. Marvin Mims Jr. led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Riley Moss led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Zach Allen led the defense in sacks with 3.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 9-7 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AFC West and fighting for the last Wild Card spot. They have complete control of their own destiny though as they only need to win this game to clinch their spot in the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 15-1 record overall which has them leading the AFC West with the best record in the entire NFL. They have already locked up the number 1 seed in the AFC so they are going to be resting a lot of starters in this game as they have nothing to play for. The backups are still very good on this team, but Carson Wentz has had some questionable performances in his last few starts and could easily make some big mistakes against this good Broncos defense. The Broncos also had the Chiefs on the ropes in their last meeting which was at Arrowhead, losing by 2 points in the end with the Chiefs blocking a field goal that would have won the Broncos the game. Now the Broncos get them at home with the backups playing and this is a game the Broncos need to win or they could be out of the playoffs. The Broncos shut down the better version of this Chiefs offense in Kansas City so they will be able to shut down Carson Wentz here, and the Broncos offense has been putting up more points lately as Bo Nix has improved throughout the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Broncos Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 5, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Broncos 23 Chiefs 7.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 5-11 ATS versus division opponents. 2-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points. 6-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-6 UNDER versus division opponents. 14-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 14-6 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.

Denver Broncos: 9-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 5-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 9-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 12-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Kansas City Chiefs:  P. Hendershot (TE) Injured - Calf. C. Jones (DT) Questionable - Calf. J. Reid (SAF) Injured - Back. N. Remigio (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Williams (CB) Injured - Ankle. X. Worthy (WR) Injured - Ankle. C. Conner (DB) Out - Concussion. C. Humphrey (C) Injured - Shoulder. P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Ankle. D. Humphries (OT) Out - Hamstring. J. Taylor (T) Questionable - Knee.

Denver Broncos:  T. Badie (RB) Questionable - Back. T. Franklin (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. McLaughlin (RB) Injured - Quad. R. Moss (CB) Injured - Knee.

“Getting the No. 1 seed is important. It's like winning a playoff game.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Steelers in their last game. 

“Tough one to lose. We had our opportunities. The will to compete and answer, it was pretty impressive. In the end, we didn’t make enough plays, and they did.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game. 

WR Hopkins, Deandre 

WR Brown, Hollywood

WR Worthy, Xavier

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Wentz, Carson

RB Pacheco, Isiah

WR Sutton, Courtland 

WR Mims Jr., Marvin

WR Vele, Devaughn

TE Trautman, Adam

QB Nix, Bo

RB Estime, Audric

FB Burton, Michael

Passing: P. Mahomes (3928)

Rushing: K. Hunt (728)

Receiving: T. Kelce (823)

Touchdowns: X. Worthy (9)

Passing: B. Nix (3454)

Rushing: J. Williams (485)

Receiving: C. Sutton (983)

Touchdowns: C. Sutton (7)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)

Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)