by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 22, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 23, 2024
Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ISU -7, Utah +7; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ISU -7, Utah +7; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ISU -7, Utah +7; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Iowa State Cyclones: 8-2 (5-2) (3rd place, Big 12)
Utah Utes: 4-6 (1-6) (15th place, Big 12)
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Iowa State Cyclones: won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bearcats 34-17.
Utah Utes: lost their last game on the road against the Colorado Buffaloes 49-24.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Utah Utes Preview and Analysis
Iowa State is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Cincinnati 34-17. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 24/33 passes for 234 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Abu Sama III led the team in rushing yards with 52 and 1 TD. Gabe Burkle led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kooper Ebel led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Utah is entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-6 record in their conference games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Colorado 49-24. Isaac Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 21/40 passes for 236 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Mike Mitchell led the team in rushing yards with 28. Carsen Ryan led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Johnathan Hall led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Karene Reid and Logan Fano each led the defense in sacks with 1. Lander Barton came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Iowa State vs Utah Prediction
The current betting odds have Iowa State listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 5-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They were undefeated until a few weeks ago when they lost 2 games in a row, but now they are coming off a nice win over Cincinnati in their last one and are still in the conversation for the Big 12 Championship. Meanwhile, Utah hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-6 record overall and their 1-6 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the Big 12. This was one of the favorites to win the Big 12 at the beginning of the season, but their season has been a complete disaster with no real answer on offense. They haven't been putting up a ton of points in their games and even their defense hasn't looked as good as it was last season. They are coming off a bad loss to Colorado in their last one and they don't have much to play for other than bowl eligibility. They can't afford another loss if they want to become bowl eligible, but Iowa State can't afford another loss either and they are going to bring their best effort to beat up on a struggling Utah team. Iowa State has also had a solid defense all season so Utah isn't going to move the ball easily and it will be tough for them to keep up with this Iowa State offense that has been putting up points lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game.
Iowa State Utah Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 23, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 27 Utah 16.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Iowa State Cyclones: 9-5 ATS in road lined games. 6-1 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-0 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 4-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 7-3 UNDER off a home win. 4-1 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival.
Utah Utes: 4-7 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 0-3 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 7-12 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-6 UNDER in home lined games. 4-1 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 18-9 UNDER in games played on turf.
Key Injuries
Iowa State Cyclones: T. Moore (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Brahmer (TE) Questionable - Leg. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.
Utah Utes: B. Kuithe (TE) Out - Undisclosed. B. Rose (QB) Out - Undisclosed. M. Parks (WR) Out - Shoulder. C. Rising (QB) Out - Lower Body. K. Johnson (CB) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“He was incredible today for us.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against Cincinnati in their last game.
“We’re just not potent enough on offense. If you look just statistically, as good as we are on defense, we’re that far down the ladder on offense in those statistical categories.” - Kyle Whittingham on his team this season.
Starting Lineups
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Higgins, Jayden
WR Ngoyi, Beni
WR Noel, Jaylin
TE Brahmer, Benjamin
TE Klotz, Stevo
QB Becht, Rocco
RB Sama III, Abu
Utah Utes
WR Singer, Dorian
WR Calhoun, Cameron
WR Pittman, Mycah
TE Bentley, Dallen
TE Kuithe, Brant
QB Wilson, Isaac
RB Bernard, Micah
Statistical Leaders
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: R. Becht (2628)
Rushing: C. Hansen (503)
Receiving: J. Noel (935)
Touchdowns: C. Hansen (9)
Utah Utes
Passing: I. Wilson (1436)
Rushing: M. Bernard (880)
Receiving: D. Singer (681)
Touchdowns: B. Kuithe (8)
Coaches:
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)
Utah Utes: Kyle Whittingham (21st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
