Iowa State Cyclones vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/28/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, December 28, 2024

Venue:  Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  56 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  56 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Iowa State Cyclones:  10-3 (7-2) (3rd place, Big 12)

Miami Hurricanes:  10-2 (6-2) (3rd place, ACC)

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Iowa State Cyclones:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Arizona State Sun Devils 45-19.

Miami Hurricanes:  lost their last game on the road against the Syracuse Orange 42-38.

Iowa State is entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Arizona State 45-19. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 21/35 passes for 214 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Carson Hansen led the team in rushing yards with 52. Jayden Higgins led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ta'Shawn James led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Domonique Orange led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Syracuse 42-38. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 349 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Damien Martinez led the team in rushing yards with 84 and 1 TD. Xavier Restrepo led the receivers with 148 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. OJ Frederique Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tyler Baron and Akheem Mesidor each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They were leading the ACC all season, but a loss to Syracuse in their last game of the regular season kept them out of the ACC Championship. Their defense didn't look great this season with the number of points they were giving up, but their offense looked great as they have one of the best QB's in the nation and can definitely put up points. Meanwhile, Iowa State has looked good in their games this season with their 10-3 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They were leading the Big 12 for most of the season and even went to the Big 12 Championship, but they were absolutely embarrassed in that game by Arizona State. They lost 45-19 and had no answer for the Arizona State offense in that game. This is going to be a similar game for them with Cam Ward making plays on the other side. Both of these teams are in the same boat with missing the playoffs, but Iowa State at least got a chance in their conference championship while Miami was left out of theirs and will feel more snubbed by this situation. Miami has a lot more talent on their side and Iowa State won't be able to keep up on offense. Miami will cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 28, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 44 Iowa State 28.

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Iowa State Cyclones: 3-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 0-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 5-12 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog. 8-4 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 12-6 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Miami Hurricanes: 8-2 1H ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 8-4 1H ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 5-1 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 4-1 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 

Iowa State Cyclones:  J. Jackson (RB) Out - Suspension. B. Brahmer (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Moore (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

Miami Hurricanes:  R. Williams (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Richard (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“It doesn’t get that much more deflating than that. Their ability to take care of the football and our inability to do that in the third quarter was just paralyzing.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s loss against ASU in the Big 12 Championship.

“We use analytics. It was outside the 10-yard line with four minutes to go. Get the points. Get a stop.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against Syracuse in their regular season finale. 

WR Higgins, Jayden 

WR Ngoyi, Beni

WR Noel, Jaylin 

TE Brahmer, Benjamin 

TE Klotz, Stevo 

QB Becht, Rocco

RB Sama III, Abu

WR Horton, Isaiah 

WR George, Jacolby

WR Restrepo, Xavier 

TE Arroyo, Elijah

QB Ward, Cam 

RB Martinez, Damien

Passing: R. Becht (3235)

Rushing: C. Hansen (670)

Receiving: J. Higgins (1183)

Touchdowns: C. Hansen (12)

Passing: C. Ward (4123)

Rushing: D. Martinez (823)

Receiving: X. Restrepo (1127)

Touchdowns: X. Restrepo (11)

Coaches:

Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)