Iowa Hawkeyes vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/30/2024

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Monday, December 30, 2024

Venue:  Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Iowa +3, Mizzou -3; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Iowa +3, Mizzou -3; Over/Under:  40 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Iowa +3, Mizzou -3; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Iowa Hawkeyes:  8-4 (6-3) (6th place, Big Ten)

Missouri Tigers:  9-3 (5-3) (7th place, SEC)

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Iowa Hawkeyes:  won their last game at home against the Nebraska Cornhuskers 13-10.

Missouri Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 28-21.

Iowa is entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 6-3 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Nebraska 13-10. Jackson Stratton was the starting QB and he completed 8/15 passes for 115 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kaleb Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 45. Kaleb Johnson led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Sebastian Castro led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ethan Hurkett led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Missouri is entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 5-3 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 28-21. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 10/20 passes for 168 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcus Carroll led the team in rushing yards with 90 and 2 TDs. Theo Wease Jr. led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dreyden Norwood led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Johnny Walker Jr. and Eddie Kelly Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa has looked good in their games this season with their 8-4 record overall and their 6-3 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big Ten. They weren't a top team in the Big Ten this season, but they were still a really good team with a solid defense that can win them games. Meanwhile, Missouri has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall and their 5-3 conference record which has them in the middle of the SEC. All 3 of their losses were against conference opponents so they were never really threatening the SEC Championship, but they did have a good defense that wasn't giving up a ton of points. They did have a few bad games against stronger opponents, but their defense didn't give up much against weaker offenses. Iowa has a great defense that can definitely match this Mizzou defense, but offense has been a big issue for Iowa all season and they even ended the regular season with a 13-10 win over Nebraska. Both of these teams were much worse when they weren't at home so the defenses will be a big part on both sides, but Missouri has a lot more talent on offense to make the plays to win this game. Missouri has the edge with their offense in this game and Iowa won't be able to play from behind if Missouri gets out to an early lead. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Monday, December 30, 2024 (2:30 pm ET start time) is Missouri 21 Iowa 13.

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Iowa Hawkeyes: 9-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 6-3 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 6-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 24-15 UNDER in all lined games. 10-1 UNDER as an underdog. 14-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.

Missouri Tigers: 2-5 1H ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 0-3 1H ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 2-6 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-4 UNDER in non-conference games. 14-5 1H UNDER as a favorite. 7-1 1H UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Iowa Hawkeyes:  K. Johnson (RB) Out - Personal. B. Stephens (OL) Questionable - Ankle. M. Lainez (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Allen (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Harris (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Dunker (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Sharar (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. McNamara (QB) Questionable - Concussion. R. Vander Zee (WR) Questionable - Foot. L. Williams (RB) Out - Redshirt. K. Brown (WR) Out - Redshirt. K. Telander (LB) Out - Undisclosed.

Missouri Tigers:  B. Norfleet (TE) Out - Undisclosed. L. Burden (WR) Out - Personal. M. Cooper (WR) Out - Undisclosed. L. Reichert (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. McNeil (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Le Blanc (LS) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lacy (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Tollison (OL) Out - Knee. J. Moore (DE) Out - Undisclosed. K. Jacobs (LB) Out - Undisclosed. S. Horn (QB) Out - Elbow. D. Smith (DE) Out - Knee.

“Basically, he got benched last year. What a contrast with this year. We had all the confidence in him.” - Kirk Ferentz after his team’s win against Nebraska in their regular season finale. 

“It was chippy out there tonight. But I hope they all understand there’s a lot of mutual respect. I respect the crud out of Arkansas and their program.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s win against Arkansas in their regular season finale. 

WR Buie, Jarriett 

WR Gill, Jacob 

WR Anderson, Seth 

TE Lachey, Luke 

QB Sullivan, Brendan

RB Moulton, Kamari 

FB Large, Hayden

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Johnson, Marquis  

WR Manning, Joshua 

TE Harris, Jordon 

QB Cook, Brady

RB Noel, Nate

Passing: C. McNamara (1017)

Rushing: K. Johnson (1537)

Receiving: J. Gill (382)

Touchdowns: K. Johnson (23)

Passing: B. Cook (2248)

Rushing: N. Noel (804)

Receiving: T. Wease (809)

Touchdowns: M. Carroll (12)

Coaches:

Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (26th season)

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (5th season)