by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 29, 2024
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Colts -8, Giants +8; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Colts -8, Giants +8; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Colts -7.5, Giants +7.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
Indianapolis Colts: 7-8 (2nd place, AFC South)
New York Giants: 2-13 (4th place, NFC East)
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Indianapolis Colts: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 38-30.
New York Giants: lost their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 34-7.
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Giants Preview and Analysis
The Colts are entering this game with a 7-8 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 38-30. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 7/11 passes for 131 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 218 and 3 TDs. Josh Downs led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jaylon Carlies led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kwity Paye led the defense in sacks with 1. Kenny Moore II came away with 2 interceptions for them while Samuel Womack III came away with 1 INT in that one.
The Giants are entering this game with a 2-13 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-8 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 34-7. Drew Lock was the starting QB and he completed 22/39 passes for 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 26. Malik Nabers led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jason Pinnock led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Cor'Dale Flott came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Colts vs Giants Prediction
The current betting odds have the Colts listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts haven't looked good in their games this season with their 7-8 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC South, but that record still has them in playoff contention for now. They can't afford to lose another game and they don't really control their own destiny either, but they are coming off a 38-30 win over the Titans in their last one and they have looked good over the last few weeks. Richardson isn't a great passer, but it hasn't really mattered with the run game they have, and they showed last week that they can still pull away and dominate games. Meanwhile, the Giants have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-13 record overall which has them in 4th place of the NFC East with the worst record in the entire NFL. They are coming off a 34-7 loss to the Falcons last week in a game that rookie QB Penix was making his debut in, and they really haven't been in many of their games since releasing Daniel Jones. This team has clearly given up on the season with only 2 games left, and they also hold the number 1 draft pick for next year so winning this game would have a huge impact on the draft order. They have also looked terrible on their home field this season with their 0-8 home record, and the Colts still have something to play for here even though their chances of making the playoffs are slim. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game.
Colts Giants Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Colts 28 Giants 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Indianapolis Colts: 5-9 ATS in non-conference games. 5-10 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 10-4 UNDER after playing a division game. 5-2 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more last game. 4-1 1H UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
New York Giants: 8-4 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-3 ATS off a road loss. 14-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 31-19 UNDER in all games. 14-5 UNDER as a home underdog. 8-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Key Injuries
Indianapolis Colts: M. Alie-Cox (TE) Injured - Hip. M. Gay (K) Injured - Neck. A. Pierce (WR) Injured - Concussion. J. Brents (CB) Injured - Knee. E. Speed (LB) Injured - Knee. L. Latu (DE) Injured - Illness. T. Lewis (DE) Injured - Rib. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Knee. M. Pittman (WR) Injured - Back. A. Dulin (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Carlies (LB) Injured - Fibula.
New York Giants: C. Manhertz (TE) Injured - Ankle. A. Stinnie (G) Injured - Concussion. G. Stroman (CB) Injured - Shoulder. B. Burns (OLB) Injured - Ankle. C. Durden (NT) Injured - Shoulder. P. Johnson (OLB) Injured - Knee. T. DeVito (QB) Injured - Concussion. W. Robinson (WR) Injured - Shoulder. T. Tracy (RB) Injured - Ankle. A. Schlottmann (OL) Injured - Fibula. D. Lock (QB) Injured - Heel. J. Schmitz (C) Injured - Ankle. C. Flott (CB) Injured - Quad. A. Green (CB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Phillips (CB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Belton (SAF) Injured - Knee. M. Nabers (WR) Injured - Knee. R. Nunez-Roches (DL) Injured - Neck. B. Okereke (LB) Injured - Back. D. Johnson (LB) Injured - Ankle. D. Banks (CB) Injured - Rib.
Notable Quotes
“You want to be able to run it every game, but, obviously, it was going good today and guys were popping it. Single-game (franchise) record? Incredible. It’s fun to watch.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
“You can’t win a game when you throw two interceptions for touchdowns. I’m just worried about this one. It wasn’t good enough.” - Brian Daboll after his team’s loss against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Indianapolis Colts
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Downs, Josh
TE Alie-Cox, Mo
QB Richardson, Anthony
RB Taylor, Jonathan
New York Giants
WR Nabers, Malik
WR Slayton, Darius
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale
TE Bellinger, Daniel
QB Lock, Drew
RB Tracy Jr., Tyrone
Statistical Leaders
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: A. Richardson (1814)
Rushing: J. Taylor (1129)
Receiving: J. Downs (687)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (9)
New York Giants
Passing: D. Lock (624)
Rushing: T. Tracy (721)
Receiving: M. Nabers (969)
Touchdowns: T. Tracy (6)
Coaches:
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)
New York Giants: Brian Daboll (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
