Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/05/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 5, 2025

Venue:  Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +1.5, Titans -1.5; Over/Under:  37 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +1.5, Titans -1.5; Over/Under:  37 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +1.5, Titans -1.5; Over/Under:  37 points

Houston Texans:  9-7 (1st place, AFC South)

Tennessee Titans:  3-13 (4th place, AFC South)

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Houston Texans:  lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 31-2.

Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13.

The Texans are entering this game with a 9-7 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 31-2. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 17/31 passes for 185 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 26. Nico Collins led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Eric Murray led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Will Anderson Jr. and Tommy Togiai each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Titans are entering this game with a 3-13 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-6 in their home games, 2-7 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13. Mason Rudolph was the starting QB and he completed 19/31 passes for 193 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tyjae Spears led the team in rushing yards with 95. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Luke Gifford led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jerome Baker and James Lynch each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 9-7 record overall which leads the AFC South. They have already clinched the division, but they haven't looked good in their games lately as they have been falling apart over the last few weeks. They don't have anything to play for here, but they are coming off another bad loss in their last one, losing at home on Christmas Day to the Ravens 31-2, so they might not sit all their starters here to get some momentum going into the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-13 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC South with the worst record in the entire NFL. They have been a disaster this season with both of their QB's making tons of mistakes. They are coming off a 20-13 loss to the Jaguars in their last one and they have nothing left to play for in this game since they can't affect the Texans in any way with even their seeding already locked in. The Texans don't need to win this game, but they have looked so bad over the last month and don't want to go into the playoffs with 3 losses in a row. This is a good opportunity for them to have a get right game against the worst team in the NFL and get some momentum going into the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Titans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 5, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 23 Titans 13.

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Houston Texans: 5-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-2 ATS off a home loss. 7-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 31-19 UNDER in all games. 16-9 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-5 UNDER versus division opponents. 10-3 UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent.

Tennessee Titans: 18-30 ATS in all games. 3-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-11 ATS versus division opponents. 6-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-2 UNDER as a favorite. 9-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 10-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-6 UNDER off a road loss.

Houston Texans:  D. Autry (DE) Questionable - Knee. S. Mason (G) Out - Knee. W. Anderson (DE) Injured - Hand. C. Harris (LB) Injured - Ankle. J. Metchie (WR) Injured - Shoulder. C. Stover (TE) Injured - Illness. N. Broeker (G) Injured - Hand. F. Fatukasi (DT) Out - Foot. J. Scruggs (OL) Out - Foot.

Tennessee Titans:  T. Pollard (RB) Out - Ankle. A. Hooker (SAF) Out - Shoulder. B. Oliver (WR) Questionable - Knee. L. Gifford (LB) Injured - Concussion. C. Dowell (WR) Out - Knee. O. Reese (LB) Out - Ankle. D. Radunz (OL) Out - Shoulder. T. Boyd (WR) Questionable - Foot. N. Folk (K) Out - Abdomen.

“This game comes down to guys making plays and they had two exceptional playmakers on their side in Lamar and Derrick Henry. They made plays and that was the game.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game.

“I hope they’re not numb to it. I sure am not.  It’s terrible. There’s no joy in this process. There’s no fun in this. It’s terrible. I feel it every day I walk into work. I feel it every day I stand up here in front of you guys. Nothing is enjoyable about this, so I don’t get numb to any of it, and I hope nobody gets numb to it. And our job is to try to fix it. We’ll do whatever we can do to fix whatever problems we got to fix, to add whatever players we have to add, to make sure that we have a better football team moving forward.” - Brian Callahan after his team’s loss against the Jags in their last game. 

WR Collins, Nico

WR Hutchinson, Xavier 

WR Metchie III, John 

TE Schultz, Dalton

QB Stroud, C.J.

RB Mixon, Joe 

WR Ridley, Calvin

WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick 

WR Boyd, Tyler 

TE Okonkwo, Chig 

QB Rudolph, Mason

RB Spears, Tyjae 

Passing: C. Stroud (3677)

Rushing: J. Mixon (993)

Receiving: N. Collins (968)

Touchdowns: J. Mixon (12)

Passing: W. Levis (1916)

Rushing: T. Pollard (1017)

Receiving: C. Ridley (941)

Touchdowns: N. Westbrook-Ikhine (9)

Coaches:

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)

Tennessee Titans: Brian Callahan (1st season)