by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 29, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 1, 2024
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texans -3.5, Jaguars +3.5; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texans -4, Jaguars +4; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texans -4, Jaguars +4; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Houston Texans: 7-5 (1st place, AFC South)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 2-9 (4th place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Houston Texans: lost their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 32-27.
Jacksonville Jaguars: lost their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 52-6.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis
The Texans are entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tennessee Titans 32-27. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 20/33 passes for 247 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 22. Nico Collins led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Danielle Hunter led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Danielle Hunter led the defense in sacks with 3. Jimmie Ward came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 52-6. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 17/29 passes for 138 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 27. Brian Thomas Jr. led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Texans vs Jaguars Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 7-5 record overall which has them leading the AFC South. They are coming off a loss to the Titans in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back here against the weakest team in the division this season. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-9 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC South with the worst record in the entire NFL. They are coming out of their bye week, but they have been missing some key players including their starting QB, and they just lost their last game to the Lions 52-6. They played a tight game in Houston against the Texans earlier this season, but the Jags are really banged up now and just haven't looked good at all this season. The Texans are in need of a get right game after losing at home to the Titans in their last one and this is the perfect time for them to be catching the Jaguars. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Texans Jaguars Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 1, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 31 Jaguars 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Houston Texans: 5-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 4-8 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 3-6 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 28-18 UNDER in all games. 21-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-3 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 9-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 4-0 ATS revenging a same season loss against an opponent. 6-1 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 8-3 UNDER off a road loss. 8-2 UNDER revenging a loss against an opponent. 13-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans: L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Rest. S. Mason (G) Injured - Rest. J. Ward (SAF) Injured - Knee. J. Pitre (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. N. Collins (WR) Injured - Rest. T. Quitoriano (TE) Injured - Knee. X. Hutchinson (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Autry (DE) Injured - Knee. F. Fatukasi (DT) Injured - Foot. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Injured - Knee. W. Anderson (DE) Injured - Ankle. B. Fisher (T) Injured - Concussion.
Jacksonville Jaguars: B. Scherff (OL) Injured - Knee. T. Lawrence (QB) Injured - Left Shoulder. T. Campbell (CB) Injured - Shoulder. Y. Abdullah (LB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Bigsby (RB) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“Just a disappointing loss for us. We didn’t do anything well enough to win this game. Out of all the positives that we did have, there were way too many negatives.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Titans in their last game.
“There’s nothing I can do to control that. I’ve been around this game for a long time, and whatever is going to happen will happen.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Dell, Tank
WR Metchie III, John
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Jones, Tim
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Washington, Parker
TE Engram, Evan
QB Jones, Mac
RB Etienne Jr., Travis
Statistical Leaders
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (2875)
Rushing: J. Mixon (786)
Receiving: N. Collins (713)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (11)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (2004)
Rushing: T. Bigsby (519)
Receiving: B. Thomas (689)
Touchdowns: B. Thomas (5)
Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
