Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 14, 2025
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 15, 2025
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  SCHN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Rockets -2, Nuggets +2; Over/Under:  232 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Rockets -2, Nuggets +2; Over/Under:  232 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Rockets -2, Nuggets +2; Over/Under:  232 points

Season Record

Houston Rockets:  26-12 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  23-15 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Houston Rockets:  7-3 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10


Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Rockets are entering this game with a 26-12 record overall this season and they are 12-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Washington Wizards, and the Memphis Grizzlies twice in a row. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 42 while Amen Thompson was next on the team with 19 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Amen Thompson led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 50.6% from the field, 51.6% from 3-point range, and 71% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.3 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 22-16 this season and their O/U record is 19-18-1.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 23-15 record overall this season and they are 12-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Dallas Mavericks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Mavericks, Russell Westbrook led the team in points in that game with 21 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 48.9% from the field, 21.9% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 18-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 24-14.


Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 26-12 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a good road team this year with their 12-6 road record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 23-15 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have also looked better on their home court this season with their 12-7 home record. The Nuggets were struggling in the first 2 months of the season as they couldn't really pull ahead, but now they have won 3 games in a row and are starting to climb up the standings. They haven't had to face too many tough opponents lately though, beating the Nets and a banged up Mavs team in their last 2 games, and they aren't in a good situation for this game either. They have another game against the Mavericks on Tuesday night so the Nuggets will be playing this game on a back-to-back, and they have been dealing with some injuries lately too. The Rockets are in a much better situation here since they are going to be rested for this game, and the Rockets have their own momentum with 4 wins in a row now. The Rockets have been playing like one of the best teams in the NBA all season and they have one of the best defenses too so they can definitely take advantage of the Nuggets in a bad situation on a back-to-back here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Rockets Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 15, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 112 Nuggets 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


Houston Rockets: 17-24 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 26-43 ATS as a road underdog. 12-21 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 8-4 UNDER off a home win against a division rival. 19-13 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Denver Nuggets: 28-16 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 5-2 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 26-19 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 30-18 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 21-13 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Key Injuries


Houston Rockets:  T. Eason (SF) Day To Day - Injury Management. J. Smith Jr. (PF) Out - Hand.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. N. Jokić (C) Day To Day - Illness. J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Knee. J. Strawther (SG) Day To Day - Knee. V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


"I think it’s all building blocks. The confidence continues to grow. We know we can get so much better." - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.


“What I love about this group is how resilient they are. We get down, we stay the course. There is no panic. We just stay the course, we find a way, we try different guys, we find something that works." - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Rockets
PG Fred VanVleet
SG Jalen Green 
SF Amen Thompson
PF Dillon Brooks
C Alperen Sengun

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Houston Rockets
PPG: J. Green (21)
APG: F. VanVleet (6)
Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.4)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokić (31.2)
APG: N. Jokić (9.8)
Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.2)

Coaches:
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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