Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/20/2024

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Saturday, July 20, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Mariners -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Mariners -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -105, Mariners -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

Houston Astros:  50-46 (2nd place, AL West)

Seattle Mariners:  52-46 (1st place, AL West)

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Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-46 record overall and have a road record of 22-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-46 record overall and have a home record of 30-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .667 OPS. Luis Castillo is their starting pitcher on Friday while George Kirby is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Astros have looked good in their games this season with their 50-46 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL West and closing the gap between them and 1st place after a terrible start to the season. They haven't looked great in their road games though, going 22-25 in those. Meanwhile, the Mariners have looked really good in their games this season with their 52-46 record overall which has them leading the AL West. They have also looked great in their home games with their 30-18 home record, but they went into the All-Star break 5-5 in their last 10 games and have been letting their lead slip as the Astros get hot. The Mariners will have Kirby on the mound in this one and he has looked really good this year. He is 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but the team hasn't been finding success with him lately. He does have 7 losses on the season and the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting too. The Mariners also have the much weaker offense here and that is going to be trouble with the Astros getting hot since they also have their own stud on the mound here. The Astros are going with Valdez in this one and he is 8-5 with a 3.66 ERA this season. He also gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him lately, but unlike Kirby, the Astros have won 4 games in a row with Valdez starting. The Mariners usually come out of the All-Star break very slow as they played themselves out of a playoff position last season, and this Astros team has been headed toward them in the division with a full head of steam for quite some time now. This is a really important series in the AL West and it is one that the Astros will bring their best effort in to try and sweep, cutting down the Mariners lead. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 20, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Astros 5 Mariners 1.

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Houston Astros: 17-6 (+11.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 23 games. 27-11 (+18.10 units) on the runline in their last 38 games. 47-32 to the under in their last 79 games. 

Seattle Mariners: 29-35 (-14 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 64 games. 31-16 to the under in their last 47 home games. 26-17 to the under with their team total in their last 43 home games.

Houston Astros:  V. Caratini (C) Out indefinitely - Hip Flexor. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Verlander (SP) Early July - Neck. C. Javier (SP) out of season - Forearm. J. Urquidy (SP) out for season - Forearm. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early July - Forearm. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Tucker (RF) Out indefinitely - Shin.

Seattle Mariners:  R. Stanek (RP) Ques Fri - Back. D. Canzone (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. G. Speier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We got the traffic when we needed to, we got the guys that we wanted at the plate and it just didn’t happen. It didn’t go our way.” - Joe Espada after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

"I've basically just threw my ring finger up (with the grip). (I was doing that in spring training). I went off of that, now I went back to it. And it just takes care of the action for me, same as my slider. It's basically all the same story: how can I find a grip that I'm throwing it as hard as I can and the grip does all the work for me. And this is basically where I landed right here." - Logan Gilbert on his new pitch.

J Altuve (R) 2B

A Bregman (R) 3B

Y Alvarez (L) DH

Y Diaz (R) C

J Singleton (L) 1B

J Peña (R) SS

J Meyers (R) CF

J Loperfido (L) RF

M Dubón (R) LF

J Crawford (L) SS

M Garver (R) DH

C Raleigh (S) C

J Rodríguez (R) CF

J Polanco (S) 2B

L Raley (L) 1B

V Robles (R) RF

J Rojas (L) 3B

D Moore (R) LF

Batting Average:  César Salazar (.318)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (118)

Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (19)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (15)

Wins:  Ronel Blanco (9)

Saves:  Josh Hader (18)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (100)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (20)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (61)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (18)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (15)

ERA:  Gregory Santos (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)