Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2024

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Friday, July 19, 2024

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +114, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Houston Astros:  50-46 (2nd place, AL West)

Seattle Mariners:  52-46 (1st place, AL West)

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Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-46 record overall and have a road record of 22-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Ronel Blanco was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Hunter Brown is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-6 with a 4.39 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Texas Rangers.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-46 record overall and have a home record of 30-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .667 OPS. Logan Gilbert was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-9 with a 3.53 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have looked good in their games this season with their 50-46 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL West and closing the gap between them and 1st place after a terrible start to the season. They haven't looked great in their road games though, going 22-25 in those. Meanwhile, the Mariners have looked really good in their games this season with their 52-46 record overall which has them leading the AL West. They have also looked great in their home games with their 30-18 home record, but they went into the All-Star break 5-5 in their last 10 games and have been letting their lead slip as the Astros get hot. The Mariners are going to have Castillo on the mound here and he has looked good this season with his 3.53 ERA. He didn't give up any runs in his last start and he leads the starting rotation with 8 wins too, but he also has 9 losses this season since the team hasn't been finding a lot of success with him. They have won 2 games in a row with him on the mound, but the Astros have been getting hot with their offense lately and this is a really important series for them to close the gap in the division. They will have Brown on the mound here who is 7-6 with a 4.39 ERA, but he was giving up a lot more runs at the start of the year, pitching a lot better lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 6 of their last 7 games with him starting. The Astros are going to be motivated to win this series so they can take the AL West back and with the way they have been steaming up the standings, it seems inevitable that they will take over the Mariners soon. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 19, 2024 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 4 Mariners 2.

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Houston Astros: 17-6 (+11.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 23 games. 27-11 (+18.10 units) on the runline in their last 38 games. 47-32 to the under in their last 79 games. 

Seattle Mariners: 29-35 (-14 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 64 games. 31-16 to the under in their last 47 home games. 26-17 to the under with their team total in their last 43 home games.

Houston Astros:  V. Caratini (C) Out indefinitely - Hip Flexor. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Verlander (SP) Early July - Neck. C. Javier (SP) out of season - Forearm. J. Urquidy (SP) out for season - Forearm. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early July - Forearm. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Tucker (RF) Out indefinitely - Shin.

Seattle Mariners:  R. Stanek (RP) Ques Fri - Back. D. Canzone (LF) Late July - Groin. J. Farmelo (CF) out for season - Knee. G. Speier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Haggerty (2B) out for season - Achilles. M. Brash (SP) out of season - Elbow. J. Kowar (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We got the traffic when we needed to, we got the guys that we wanted at the plate and it just didn’t happen. It didn’t go our way.” - Joe Espada after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.

"I've basically just threw my ring finger up (with the grip). (I was doing that in spring training). I went off of that, now I went back to it. And it just takes care of the action for me, same as my slider. It's basically all the same story: how can I find a grip that I'm throwing it as hard as I can and the grip does all the work for me. And this is basically where I landed right here." - Logan Gilbert on his new pitch.

J Altuve (R) 2B

A Bregman (R) 3B

Y Alvarez (L) DH

Y Diaz (R) C

J Singleton (L) 1B

J Peña (R) SS

J Meyers (R) CF

J Loperfido (L) RF

M Dubón (R) LF

J Crawford (L) SS

M Garver (R) DH

C Raleigh (S) C

J Rodríguez (R) CF

J Polanco (S) 2B

L Raley (L) 1B

V Robles (R) RF

J Rojas (L) 3B

D Moore (R) LF

Batting Average:  César Salazar (.318)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (118)

Home Runs:  Kyle Tucker (19)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (15)

Wins:  Ronel Blanco (9)

Saves:  Josh Hader (18)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (100)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (20)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (61)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (18)

Wins:  Luis Castillo (8)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (15)

ERA:  Gregory Santos (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)