Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/28/2022

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 28, 2022

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Mariners +110; Over/Under:  7 runs

 

Houston Astros:  29-16 (1st place, AL West)

Seattle Mariners:  18-27 (5th place, AL West)

 

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Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  2-8 last 10

 

 

 

The Astros are coming into this game with a 29-16 record overall and they are 15-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Justin Verlander is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while José Urquidy is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 6 hits in 6.2 IP against the Texas Rangers. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.

 

The Mariners are coming into this game with an 18-27 record overall and they are 10-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Chris Flexen is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Logan Gilbert will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits in 7 innings played against the Boston Red Sox. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.

 

The Mariners are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. The Mariners have not been playing well recently but they have been a better team at home this season and they were swept by the Astros in Houston a few weeks ago so they have some extra motivation in this series. The Astros have been playing very well in their recent games but they have Urquidy starting here and he has not been great this season as he has been allowing a lot of runs in his starts and has been getting himself into trouble with guys on base. The Mariners have a much better chance of winning this game here at home and they have their best pitcher on staff in Gilbert starting here in this game. Gilbert has been great all season and he will likely keep the Astros lineup from scoring a lot of runs here. The best bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

 

Astros Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 28, 2022 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Astros 1.

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Houston Astros: 30-32 (-8.8 Units) ML on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 73-74 (-13.8 Units) ML in road games. JOSE URQUIDY is 11-5 OVER against division opponents.

Seattle Mariners: 135-132 (+32.2 Units) ML in all games. 72-58 (+16.2 Units) ML in home games. 13-2 OVER when the total is 7 or less.

 

 

Houston Astros:  J. Odorizzi (SP) Late June - Ankle. J. Meyers (CF) Early June - Shoulder. T. Jones (1B) Mid June - Back.

Seattle Mariners:  T. Murphy (C) Early June - Shoulder. E. White (1B) Early July - Groin. M. Haniger (RF) Mid July - Ankle.

 

 

 

"You'd rather score a whole bunch of runs and sit back a little bit, but sometimes it's not like that. So I was glad that we scratched across those runs and were able to win it." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Guardians on Wednesday.

 

 

"We're not playing good baseball. We know that. We have to make some adjustments here and it needs to happen quick." - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the A’s on Wednesday.

 

 

 

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Michael Brantley (L) LF

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yordan Alvarez (L) DH

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Aledmys Diaz (R) SS

Jason Castro (L) C

Mauricio Dubon (R) CF

Jose Siri (R) RF

 

Jesse Winker (L) LF

Ty France (R) 1B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Kyle Lewis (R) DH

Taylor Trammell (L) RF

Luis Torrens (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Jeremy Pena (.293)

Hits:  Michael Brantley (41)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (12)

RBI:  Kyle Tucker (29)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (9)

Wins:  Justin Verlander (6)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (7)

ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Ty France (.331)

Hits:  Ty France (59)

Home Runs:  Eugenio Suarez (9)

RBI:  Ty France (31)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (13)

Wins:  Logan Gilbert (4)

Saves:  Drew Steckenrider (2)

ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)

 

Managers:

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)