Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +120, Phillies -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +120, Phillies -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros +120, Phillies -145; Over/Under:  9 runs

Houston Astros:  70-60 (1st place, AL West)

Philadelphia Phillies:  76-54 (1st place, NL West)

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Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

The Astros are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 70-60 record overall and have a road record of 35-31. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Ronel Blanco is their starting pitcher on Monday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 76-54 record overall and have a home record of 42-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 76-54 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 42-23 home record which is one of the best in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros have looked good in their games this season with their 70-60 record overall which leads the AL West, but that record wouldn't be getting them into the Wild Card in the AL at the moment. They haven't looked great in their road games either with their 35-31 road record this season. The Phillies haven't been really hot lately, but they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and are still the hotter team coming into this one with the Astros only being 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Phillies also have the better pitching matchup here with Nola on the mound in this one. Nola is 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs in his home starts. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has had a ton of success with him, winning 2 games in a row with him starting. He has also been one of the best starters in this rotation for the Phillies all season. The Astros are going with Verlander in this one and he is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA this season. Verlander hasn't been bad this season but he hasn't been great either. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he has been giving up more runs in his starts lately and even his team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting. The Phillies can take advantage of this pitching matchup at home and they have been the slightly better team lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Astros Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 27, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 3 Astros 1.

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Houston Astros: 37-21 (+11.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 58 games. 37-25 (+14.45 units) on the runline in their last 62 games. 68-46 to the under in their last 114 games. 

Philadelphia Phillies: 27-38 (-14.90 units) on the runline in their last 65 games. 23-11 to the under in their last 34 home games. 27-15 to the first 5 under in their last 42 games. 

Houston Astros:  K. Ort (SP) Que Mon - Personal. Y. Alvarez (LF) Que Mon - Neck. J. France (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Pressly (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out of season - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) Out indefinitely - Shin. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. C. Javier (SP) out of season - Forearm. J. Urquidy (SP) out for season - Forearm. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  S. Turnbull (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) out for season - Ankle. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

"Just like he was back at home. Big outs.” - Joe Espada on Hector Neris after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.

“The changeup was really good today. The first two guys get on in the first inning and he works himself out of it. That tells me something about him.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Yainer Diaz (R) DH

Jeremy Peña (R) SS

Victor Caratini (S) C

Ben Gamel (L) RF

Zach Dezenzo (R) 1B

Mauricio Dubón (R) LF

Chas McCormick (R) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Batting Average:  Ben Gamel (.455)

Hits:  Jose Altuve (154)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (25)

RBI:  Yainer Diaz (72)

Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (18)

Wins:  Framber Valdez (13)

Saves:  Josh Hader (28)

ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Weston Wilson (.353)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (145)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (28)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (88)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (25)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (12)

Saves:  José Alvarado (13)

ERA:  Max Lazar (0.00)

Managers:

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)