Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/24/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 23, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 24, 2024
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  SCHN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Astros -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Houston Astros:  69-58 (1st place, AL West)
Baltimore Orioles:  74-55 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10



Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Astros are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 69-58 record overall and have a road record of 35-29. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 13-5 with a 3.20 ERA this season. His team won their last 10 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 74-55 record overall and have a home record of 37-29. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Povich is their starting pitcher on Friday while Albert Suárez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-4 with a 3.18 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.


Astros vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 74-55 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are trying to stay ahead of the Yankees in the division and they have been a really good home team with their 37-29 home record. Meanwhile, the Astros have also looked good in their games this season with their 69-58 record overall which has them leading the AL West now and pulling away in the division. They haven't looked great in their road games but have still been good with their 34-29 road record. The Astros were terrible to start the season so they have come a long way to be in the position they are in now, and now they are getting hot as they make a run toward the playoffs. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Orioles are only 5-5 and the Astros have already taken the 1st game of this series, a game the Orioles had their ace on the mound too. Now the Orioles are going to have Suarez on the mound here and he has looked good this season with his 6-4 record and his 3.18 ERA. He was great in his last start as he gave up no runs, but his team hasn't been finding success with him on the mound. The Orioles have still lost 3 of their last 4 games with Suarez starting and their offense hasn't been great lately so even if he pitches another good game here, the offense won't bail him out. The Astros also have their own solid starter in this one with Valdez who is 13-5 with a 3.20 ERA. Valdez has been great all year but he has also been really consistent. He gave up no runs in his last start, something that has been a common theme for him lately, and his team has had a ton of success with him too, winning 10 games in a row with him starting. The Astros have been the hotter team lately with an offense that has been producing more runs lately, they can take advantage of this pitching matchup with that hot offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Astros Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 24, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 4 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Houston Astros: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 08/24/2024.

Baltimore Orioles: Will be posted by 12:00pm ET, 08/24/2024.

Key Injuries


Houston Astros:  K. Ort (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. France (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Pressly (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out of season - Forearm. K. Tucker (RF) Out indefinitely - Shin. K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. C. Javier (SP) out of season - Forearm. J. Urquidy (SP) out for season - Forearm. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Ques Fri - Wrist. Z. Eflin (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Prob Fri - Personal. J. Webb (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. G. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Westburg (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Bat-to-ball skills — they've always been there. He's had some success against their starter.” - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.


“We didn’t turn a couple double-play balls that hurt, but we got three hits. Tough to win a major league baseball game getting three hits.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Alex Bregman (R) DH
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Yainer Diaz (R) 1B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Ben Gamel (L) RF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Shay Whitcomb (R) 3B
Mauricio Dubón (R) SS

Baltimore Orioles
Colton Cowser (L) LF
Anthony Santander (S) DH
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Ryan O'Hearn (L) RF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Jackson Holliday (L) 2B
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Ramón Urías (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Ben Gamel (.667)
Hits:  Jose Altuve (151)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (25)
RBI:  Yainer Diaz (71)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (18)
Wins:  Framber Valdez (13)
Saves:  Josh Hader (27)
ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)
Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (144)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (37)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (82)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (23)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (13)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)
ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Managers:
Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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