by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 27, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 29, 2024
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Packers +1, Vikings -1; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Packers +1, Vikings -1; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Packers +1.5, Vikings -1.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Green Bay Packers: 11-4 (3rd place, NFC North)
Minnesota Vikings: 13-2 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 34-0.
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 27-24.
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis
The Packers are entering this game with an 11-4 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 34-0. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 182 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Devonte Wyatt, Keisean Nixon, and Brenton Cox Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Zayne Anderson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Vikings are entering this game with a 13-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 6-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 27-24. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 22/35 passes for 246 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 67. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 144 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 2 TDs. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Andrew Van Ginkel led the defense in sacks with 2. Theo Jackson and Dallas Turner each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Packers vs Vikings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked really good in their games this season with their 13-2 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have the same record as the Lions who lead the division, but the Vikings can still win the NFC North and the number 1 seed in the NFC so they have a lot left to play for in these last 2 games. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked really good in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC North and fighting for a Wild Card spot. The Packers are in a tough position here since they have already clinched a playoff spot, but it is very unlikely that they can win the division with 2 teams ahead of them. They are still going to bring their best effort for a division rival, especially with a chance to prevent them from winning the division, but the Vikings did beat the Packers in Green Bay earlier this season. Now the Vikings will have the home advantage and their offense has looked great in their games lately. The Packers have looked a lot better on defense lately as they haven't been giving up many points in their games, and they are coming off a shutout win last week too, but they weren't able to cover these talented Vikings receivers in the last meeting and they are only going to struggle more on the road now. Both teams have looked great lately, but the Vikings have the more talented players on their offense and that will give them the edge at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Packers Vikings Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 29, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Vikings 34 Packers 31.
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NFL Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers: 3-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 0-4 ATS revenging an upset loss against an opponent as a favorite. 4-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 5-0 OVER revenging a home loss against an opponent. 7-3 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-3 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
Minnesota Vikings: 8-4 ATS off a road win. 11-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 11-6 1H ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 7-2 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 12-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-2 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers: E. Jenkins (OL) Injured - Knee. C. Watson (WR) Injured - Knee. E. Williams (SAF) Injured - Quadricep. J. Alexander (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Ballentine (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Bullard (SAF) Injured - Ankle. T. Hopper (LB) Injured - Ankle. T. Kraft (TE) Injured - Hip. L. Musgrave (TE) Injured - Ankle. Q. Walker (LB) Injured - Ankle.
Minnesota Vikings: H. Smith (SAF) Injured - Foot. C. Ham (FB) Injured - Ankle. F. Moreau (CB) Injured - Hip. B. Cashman (LB) Injured - Hip. P. Jones (OLB) Injured - Knee. J. Oliver (TE) Injured - Wrist. I. Pace (LB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Redmond (DL) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“What's really cool is we're getting contributions from a lot of different people. I think that's usually the mark of a good team.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
“There wasn’t really one guy — and I know I’m not speaking just for myself — (who didn’t think) we’re going to go down and we’re going to get a touchdown. And I think the level of confidence that that group has in their quarterback and the level of confidence the quarterback has in the 10 guys in the huddle is significant. And that’s how you’re able to go do that in that moment on the road at this place where you can’t hear yourself think.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Green Bay Packers
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Watson, Christian
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Darnold, Sam
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Statistical Leaders
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (3135)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (1216)
Receiving: J. Reed (803)
Touchdowns: J. Jacobs (14)
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: S. Darnold (3776)
Rushing: A. Jones (1046)
Receiving: J. Jefferson (1387)
Touchdowns: J. Jefferson (10)
Coaches:
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
