Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 21, 2024
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  14-12 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  14-12 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  2-8 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Warriors are entering this game with a 14-12 record overall this season and they are 7-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Houston Rockets, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Brandin Podziemski led the team in points in that game with 21 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 19 points. Brandin Podziemski led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 35.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 15-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-14.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 14-12 record overall this season and they are 8-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Knicks. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 24 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 17 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jaden McDaniels and Donte DiVincenzo each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 46.1% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 61.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 11-15 this season and their O/U record is 12-14.


Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 14-12 record overall, but they haven't been great as that record has them lower in the West at the moment. They have looked better on their home court with their 8-5 home record and they will be looking to bounce back after a bad loss to the Knicks in their last one. They were playing well before that loss and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games so they have looked a lot better lately. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 14-12 record overall, but that record also has them lower in the West at the moment. They got off to a hot start this season, but they have looked terrible lately as they seem to be falling apart. They are 7-7 in their road games this season, but they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and coming off a terrible loss to the Grizzlies in their last one. They haven't been able to break out of this funk that they have been in and they aren't even putting up that many points in their games lately either. The Timberwolves are also coming off a bad loss, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately and are the more likely team to bounce back here, especially being on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, December 21, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 110 Warriors 102.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 20-9 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-3 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 6-2 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 31-22 OVER as a road underdog. 14-7 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 29-51 ATS as a home favorite. 9-28 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 2-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 23-16 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 7-1 OVER after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  M. Moody (SG) Day To Day - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Ingles (SF) Day To Day - Soleus.


Notable Quotes


"I know who we are, I know what our team is about. I know we've got competitors, I know we're going to bounce back. So I'm not concerned about that. But we've got a lot of work to do to execute, learn how to execute under pressure, take care of the ball, get good shots. We'll regroup tomorrow in Minneapolis, have practice, and get ready to go Saturday (against the Minnesota Timberwolves)." - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Thursday.


"I can't do nothing if there's no lanes. It's not open. Every team we play did a great job of sitting in the gaps. When I get to the rim, putting four people at the rim. I'm sorry, people, there's nothing I can do with going to the hole right now." - Anthony Edwards after their loss against the Knicks in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Dennis Schroder
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (22)
APG: D. Schroder (6.5)
Reb/G: K. Looney (7.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)
APG: M. Conley (4.6)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.7)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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