by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Apr 02, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 3, 2025
Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: TNT, MAX, truTV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Warriors +2, Lakers -2; Over/Under: 230 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Warriors +2, Lakers -2; Over/Under: 230 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Warriors +2, Lakers -2; Over/Under: 230 points
Season Record
Golden State Warriors: 44-31 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Los Angeles Lakers: 46-29 (1st place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers: 6-4 last 10
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis
The Warriors are entering this game with a 44-31 record overall this season and they are 21-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 52 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 27 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Draymond Green and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.4% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 37-35-3 this season and their O/U record is 38-37.
The Lakers are entering this game with a 46-29 record overall this season and they are 29-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Houston Rockets. Luka Dončić, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Gabe Vincent each led the team in points in that game with 20 while LeBron James was next on the team with 16 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while LeBron James and Austin Reaves each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 39.3% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 90% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 41-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-38.
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lakers have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court with their 29-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked really good in their games this season with their 44-31 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 21-17 road record this season, but they definitely haven't been at their best in those games. The Warriors are the hotter team coming into this one as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Lakers are 6-4, but both are coming into this one with some momentum too. The Warriors have won 3 games in a row now, but the Lakers have won 2 games in a row and this is a big game for them to test themselves with the regular season nearing an end. The Lakers are coming off 2 good wins against strong teams in the West too, beating the Grizzlies and the Rockets, and they are going to bring their best effort for the Warriors, especially with the Warriors now 2 games behind in the standings. The Warriors have been rolling ever since they acquired Jimmy Butler who has turned their season around, but the Lakers have been so good at home all season and that should give them the edge in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game.
Warriors Lakers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 3, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Lakers 121 Warriors 117.
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NBA Betting Trends
Golden State Warriors: 28-18 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 40-29 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 23-16 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days. 21-14 UNDER on the road revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 28-18 1H UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).
Los Angeles Lakers: 21-36 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 18-23 1H ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 26-13 UNDER at home when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 23-17 1H UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.
Key Injuries
Golden State Warriors: J. Kuminga (PF) Day To Day - Pelvic. G. Payton (SG) Out - Thumb.
Los Angeles Lakers: M. Kleber (PF) Out - Foot.
Notable Quotes
"You can have a reaction, but you don't want to let it distract you from what the task is. So I think trying to stay as even-keeled as possible -- that doesn't mean you're passive or giving into it -- you're kind of fighting through it and not looking to get bailed out even though you feel like it's not going your way." - Steph Curry on the lack of foul calls in their win against the Grizzlies on Tuesday.
“It’s very simple. I think we all recognize the magnitude of each game and the urgency with which we have to play each game. I think once you get to the playoffs, anybody who has been there, we have a bunch of guys who have won championships and a bunch of guys who have made deep playoff runs, the urgency you have to play with on each possession, that’s what’s exhausting about the playoffs.” - JJ Redick on his team with the playoffs nearing.
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Moses Moody
PF Jimmy Butler
C Draymond Green
Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luka Doncic
SG Austin Reaves
SF Rui Hachimura
PF LeBron James
C Jaxson Hayes
Statistical Leaders
Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (24.4)
APG: S. Curry (6.1)
Reb/G: K. Looney (6.2)
Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. Dončić (27.7)
APG: L. James (8.4)
Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.4)
Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
