Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/13/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 13, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  34-30 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  37-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 34-30 record overall and they are 17-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Jonathan Kuminga led the team in points in that game with 22 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 21 points. Chris Paul led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.5% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 35-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-32.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 37-28 record overall and they are 19-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Detroit Pistons, and the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Dereck Lively II was next on the team with 22 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.8% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 35-30 this season and their O/U record is 32-32-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 37-28 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They haven't been great on their home court this season but they still have a winning record there with their 19-15 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 34-30 record overall, but that record also has them in the final play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have also been a good road team with their 17-13 road record but have still been really inconsistent in those games. They are coming off a win against the Spurs who are at the bottom of the conference in the West and they have been really up and down in their games lately too. It isn't going to help them much either that Steph Curry is now dealing with an injury. The Mavericks haven't been any better in their games lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, but they have been starting to turn things around now and have a ton of momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row. The Mavericks have been a really streaky team this season but right now they are hot and they have the talent to take advantage of this banged up Warriors team missing one of their best players. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 124 Warriors 110.

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Golden State Warriors: 21-9 ATS in road games. 9-2 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 12-6 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 11-5 UNDER off a road win. 12-6 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more. 22-11 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: 12-21 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 4-8 ATS after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games. 8-16 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 23-13 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 15-8 UNDER after allowing 95 points or less. 

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Ques Wed - Ankle.

Dallas Mavericks:  None.

“We weren’t doing anything differently, just the effort and the connection. If one guy is out of place and everybody’s giving great effort, it still results in two points. I just felt we were better connected in the second half and as that went, we picked up some momentum.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Monday.

“It's about winning to him. Numbers, I don't know if they really mean anything to him today. But when he does retire, he'll look back to see the game that he was playing was at a different level than anybody else.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Monday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: S. Curry (26.9)

APG: C. Paul (7.1)

Reb/G: D. Green (7)

PPG: L. Doncic (34.6)

APG: L. Doncic (9.9)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.1)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)