Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/12/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -3.5, Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -3.5, Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -4.5, Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  27-26 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  28-26 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 27-26 record overall this season and they are 12-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 38 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 20 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.1% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 26-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 27-26.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 28-26 record overall this season and they are 15-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Sacramento Kings. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 30 while Spencer Dinwiddie was next on the team with 20 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kyrie Irving led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.6% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 27-25-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-25.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors haven't looked great in their games this season with their 27-26 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record still has them fighting for a playoff spot. They are in the last spot in the West for the play-in tournament, but they haven't been a great road team this year with their 12-13 road record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked great in their games this season either with their 28-26 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and also fighting for a spot in the play-in tournament. They have looked decent on their home court with their 15-11 home record, but they have completely collapsed since trading away their franchise player Luka Doncic. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and coming off a home loss to the Kings in their last one. They also lost Anthony Davis to another injury so he will not be playing in this game. The Warriors have been really up and down this season, but they have started to look better lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. They are coming off a big road win over the Bucks by double digits in their last one and they have been playing better with Jimmy Butler joining the lineup. The Warriors have looked a lot better since trading for Butler, winning 2 games in a row now with some momentum on their side, and this is the point in the season where they will start buckling down and make a push to secure their playoff spot. The Warriors made themselves better with the trade deadline while the Mavericks made themselves worse, and the Warriors can take advantage of the Mavs in this bad situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 12, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Warriors 128 Mavericks 117.

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Golden State Warriors: 12-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 22-30 1H ATS as a road favorite. 14-24 1H ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 27-20 UNDER off a road win. 29-17 1H UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 30-17 1H UNDER off a road win. 

Dallas Mavericks: 30-21 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 27-19 ATS off a home loss. 27-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 31-17 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 27-18 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Golden State Warriors:  J. Kuminga (PF) Out - Ankle.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Gafford (PF) Day To Day - Knee. A. Davis (PF) Out - Groin. P. Washington (PF) Out - Ankle. D. Powell (C) Out - Hip. C. Martin (SF) Out - Hip. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

“I’m most impressed with his passing. His passing changes everything. The skill, the strength, the ability to get to the free throw line. And in the end, it goes beyond that. Just his presence out there.” - Steve Kerr on Jimmy Butler after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Monday.

“People are going to say stuff. That’s understandable. I was a fan. Still a fan. If I didn’t agree with a trade, I would probably voice my opinion, too.” - Klay Thompson on the fans being upset with the team. 

PG Stephen Curry

SG Buddy Hield

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Draymond Green 

C Quinten Post

PG Kyrie Irving

SG Klay Thompson

SF P.J. Washington

PF Naji Marshall

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: S. Curry (23.3)

APG: S. Curry (6.1)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.9)

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.9)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)