Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/02/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Florida Panthers:  44-26-3 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  45-25-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Florida Panthers:  5-5-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-3-1 last 10

The Panthers are entering this game with 91 points, a 44-26-3 record overall, and they are 20-15-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Montreal Canadiens in their last game, losing that one at home 4-2, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with another game against the Canadiens still to be played on Tuesday night. In that previous game against the Canadiens, Seth Jones and Sam Reinhart each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Aleksander Barkov led the team in assists with 2 while Carter Verhaeghe led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 21 shots with 18 saves and a .857 save percentage. Their offense has scored 233 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 198 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 94 points, a 45-25-4 record overall, and they are 23-13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2. Max Domi, Steven Lorentz, and Mitchell Marner each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Simon Benoit, Calle Järnkrok, David Kämpf, and Scott Laughton each led the team in assists with 1 while Matthew Knies led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 31 shots with 29 saves and a .935 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 242 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 45-25-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked really good on home ice too with their 23-13-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Panthers have looked good in their games this season with their 44-26-3 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have also been a good road team this year with their 20-15-1 road record, but they definitely haven't played their best in those games. They haven't looked that great lately either as they are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a loss to the Canadiens in their last one. They aren't in a great situation here either as they are playing this game on a back-to-back and won't have any rest on their side as they still have to travel too. The Maple Leafs have been getting hot lately, going 6-3-1 in their last 10 games, and they are building some momentum too with 2 wins in a row now. They are also going to have the rest advantage in this game, and this is a big game for them to keep their top spot in the division since it is a tight race. The Maple Leafs can take advantage of the Panthers in this bad situation not playing their best lately, and they are going to bring their best effort for the defending Stanley Cup champions too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Panthers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, April 2, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Panthers 2.

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Florida Panthers: 28-26 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 44-30 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 160-105 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 power plays/game or less. 46-27 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Toronto Maple Leafs: 115-80 (-30.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 56-48 (-19.3 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 81-70 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 7-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is 5.5.

Florida Panthers:  D. Kulikov (D) Out - Upper-Body. M. Tkachuk (LW) Out - Groin.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.

“The two power-play goals are the biggest piece. I think we had [23 shots] blocked tonight, missed the net [on] another [21]. So, we let a lot of offense die in that game.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Canadiens in their game on Sunday.

"I thought the team competed hard tonight. I thought we were a little tired and gassed, or it looked like it anyway, but we did a good job defending. We did what we had to do to win the game." - Craig Berube after his team’s win against the Ducks in their game on Sunday.

LW Carter Verhaeghe

C Aleksander Barkov

RW Sam Reinhart

LD Gustav Forsling

RD Seth Jones

G Vitek Vanecek

LW Matthew Knies

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Anthony Stolarz

Points: S. Reinhart (76)

Goals: S. Reinhart (36)

Assists: A. Barkov (48)

GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.44)

Points: M. Marner (91)

Goals: W. Nylander (42)

Assists: M. Marner (68)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.35)

Coaches:

Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (3rd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)