Florida Panthers vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2025

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, April 5, 2025

Venue:  Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers -120, Senators +100; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers -120, Senators +100; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers -120, Senators +100; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Florida Panthers:  44-27-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Ottawa Senators:  40-29-6 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Florida Panthers:  4-5-1 last 10

Ottawa Senators:  5-4-1 last 10

The Panthers are entering this game with 92 points, a 44-27-4 record overall, and they are 20-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2. Sam Reinhart and Gustav Forsling each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett, Seth Jones, and Mackie Samoskevich each led the team in assists with 1 while Anton Lundell led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 save percentage. Their offense has scored 237 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 204 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Senators are entering this game with 86 points, a 40-29-6 record overall, and they are 22-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1. Shane Pinto and Jake Sanderson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Ridly Greig led the team in assists with 2 while Jake Sanderson led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Linus Ullmark was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 32 shots with 31 saves and a .969 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 215 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 215 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Senators listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Senators have looked good in their games this season with their 40-29-6 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot. They have also looked a lot better on home ice this year with their 22-11-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Panthers have looked good in their games this season with their 44-27-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. They have been a good road team too with their 20-16-2 road record, but they definitely haven't been at their best in these games. They haven't looked good lately either, going 4-5-1 in their last 10 games, and now they have lost 3 games in a row too. They have been struggling a lot on their road trip against the Canadian teams lately, and it has affected them in the standings. They were in contention to win the division, but now they have slipped to 3rd place with the Lightning passing them and they are starting to crumple at the wrong time. The Senators are coming into this one with a bit of momentum on their side and they are coming off a nice home win over the Lightning too. They have looked a lot better on home ice all season and they can take advantage of the Panthers in a bad slump here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Senators to win this game. 

Panthers Senators Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 5, 2025 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Senators 3 Panthers 1.

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Florida Panthers: 136-83 (-6.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 36-43 (-25.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 115-86 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 34-25 OVER off a road loss.

Ottawa Senators: 65-50 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 17-6 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline off a home win against a division rival. 65-49 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 34-21 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Florida Panthers:  A. Barkov (C) Day To Day - Upper-body. N. Sturm (C) Day To Day - Upper Body. D. Kulikov (D) Out - Upper-Body. M. Tkachuk (LW) Out - Groin.

Ottawa Senators:  B. Tkachuk (LW) Day To Day - Upper body. N. Cousins (C) Out - Knee.

“It’s playoff hockey at this time of the year. It’s always one-goal games it seems like. We’ll continue to fight and continue to build. We did a lot of good things. It’s not something we’re going to hang our heads about I don’t think.” - Evan Rodrigues after their loss against the Maple Leafs in their game on Wednesday.

“Obviously, at this time of year, there’s going to be some close games, and you’ve got to be comfortable playing in them. I thought we looked comfortable tonight.” - Travis Green after his team’s win against the Lightning in their game on Thursday.

LW Jesper Boqvist

C Sam Bennett

RW Sam Reinhart

LD Gustav Forsling

RD Seth Jones

G Sergei Bobrovsky

LW Fabian Zetterlund

C Tim Stutzle

RW Claude Giroux

LD Jake Sanderson

RD Artyom Zub

G Linus Ullmark

Points: S. Reinhart (78)

Goals: S. Reinhart (37)

Assists: A. Barkov (48)

GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.45)

Points: T. Stutzle (72)

Goals: B. Tkachuk (29)

Assists: T. Stutzle (51)

GAA: A. Forsberg (2.68)

Coaches:

Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (3rd season)

Ottawa Senators: Travis Green (1st season)