Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/05/2025

Game Time: 6:09 pm ET, Saturday, April 5, 2025

Venue:  Alamodome, San Antonio, TX 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida -2.5, Auburn +2.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida -2.5, Auburn +2.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida -2.5, Auburn +2.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Florida Gators:  34-4 (14-4) (2nd place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  32-5 (15-3) (1st place, SEC)

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Florida Gators:  5-0  last 5

Auburn Tigers:  4-1  last 5

Florida is entering this game with a 34-4 record overall, a 14-4 record in conference games, and they are 12-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in their last game. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in points in that game with 30 while Thomas Haugh was next on the team with 20. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Thomas Haugh led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.9% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 92.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.7 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 27-11 this season and their O/U record is 21-17.

Auburn is entering this game with a 32-5 record overall, a 15-3 conference record, and they are 11-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game. Johni Broome led the team in points in that game with 25 while Tahaad Pettiford was next on the team with 10. Chad Baker-Mazara led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 42.6% from the field, 28% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.2 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 20-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-16.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked really good in their games this season with their 34-4 record overall and their 14-4 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have also been great in neutral site games this year as they are 12-0 in those games. Meanwhile, Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 32-5 record overall and their 15-3 conference record which had them right at the top of the SEC. They have been great in their neutral site games too, going 11-1 in those, and they have been ranked 1st in the nation for a majority of the season. Auburn has looked a lot better throughout this tournament as they have been cruising through a lot of their games while Florida has had a few close calls. Auburn didn't look great to end the season though, stumbling in their last few games and even losing to Tennessee in the SEC Tournament, a tournament that Florida won. These two teams have been the two best teams in the SEC all season and both played in the toughest conference, but they only faced each other 1 time this season and Florida won that game at Auburn 90-81. Florida has had 2 close calls in this tournament as they almost lost to UConn and to Texas Tech, but they responded very well after that close call against UConn with a blowout win over Maryland in their next game, and they will do the same here after that close call against Texas Tech. Florida knows they can beat this Auburn team and they will make sure to play this game from start to finish with the National Championship within reach now. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, April 5, 2025 (6:09 pm ET start time) is Florida 82 Auburn 75.

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Florida Gators: 1-5 ATS in a post-season tournament game. 4-8 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. 21-18 OVER in all neutral court games. 21-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 25-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Auburn Tigers: 16-10 ATS in all neutral court games. 6-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 16-7 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 9-4 OVER as an underdog. 38-23 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.

Florida Gators:  O. Rioux (C) Out - Redshirt.

Auburn Tigers:  None. 

“There’s not another player in America you would rather have right now than Walter Clayton with the ball in his hands in a big-time moment. The biggest thing in those moments is you need to have somebody that wants to take those shots. They’re obviously difficult plays, but someone that has the confidence to step up and make incredible individual plays. Walter did that for us tonight.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against Texas Tech in the Elite 8 of the NCAA tournament.

“You talk about delivering again at the biggest moments.” - Bruce Pearl on Johni Broome after his team’s win against Michigan State in the Elite 8 of the NCAA tournament. 

R. Chinyelu 

W. Clayton 

A. Condon 

A. Martin 

W. Richard

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

PPG: W. Clayton (17.5)

APG: W. Clayton (4.3)

Reb/G: A. Condon (7.9)

PPG: J. Broome (18.9)

APG: J. Broome (3.1)

Reb/G: J. Broome (10.6)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)