England Premier League Futures (2023/24 Season Updated)

The Winter transfer window is approaching in January which also marks the midway point in the season for the Premier League. This is the time when teams take a real good look at themselves and decide whether they need to buy players to improve and make a push for top of the table or if it is better to sell players and accept their spot in the middle of the pack. Either way, the 2nd half of the Premier League can look very different than the 1st half so now it is time to see which teams are shaping up to be real title contenders and which ones are just pretenders.

Manchester City -138: Man City is coming into the 2nd half of the season as the favorite to win the title according to the oddsmakers. Man City are the defending champions of the Premier League Title as well as being the Treble Champions last year and they were also just crowned champions of the world after winning the Club World Cup. They are currently sitting in 3rd place in the Premier League table with 40 points through 19 matches this season. Recently they have been surging into January between all the competitions they have been playing in, but all of these extra competitions can really take a toll later on in the season. Man City actually lost quite a bit of talent and depth in the summer transfer window and they do not have many plans to make a splash in the winter transfer window either. They still have a very good squad with some of the best talent in the Premier League, but their depth has been running thin for a while and with another deep run into Champions League on the horizon, Man City is going to start taking a hit in some of these competitions as we get deeper into the season. Manchester City has a very good squad but there are plenty of good quality squads in the Premier League this season and at this current price, there is no real value in Man City winning the title this year as it is going to be a very tough road for them to repeat. 

Liverpool +275: Liverpool is coming into the 2nd half of the season as the next team on the list to win the title according to the oddsmakers. Liverpool is currently sitting in 1st place in the Premier League table with 42 points through 19 matches. Liverpool has had a very potent attack going back to last season as they have scored a lot of goals, but a big reason for their success this season has been the improvement on defense. Their defense was awful last season as they conceded a lot of goals and were very sloppy but they did not do much in the summer transfer window to improve their defense either. Instead, they focused on bringing in midfielders to stabilize the mess they had last season and it has paid off as it not only fixed the flow of their attack and their ability to generate more meaningful scoring chances, but it also fixed their effort on defense with more organization. Liverpool also missed out on Champions League last season due to their performance in the league. They did qualify for Europa League but that will give them a bit of an advantage in the title race since they will be facing much lesser competition on their path to the finals if they can get there. They also have a lot of quality depth to get them through both competitions late in the season and the Premier League Title is definitely a big point of focus for Liverpool this season. Liverpool is in a great position right now at the top of the table going into the January transfer window and they have the talent in their squad to hold onto that lead in the 2nd half of the year. There is a lot of value in Liverpool to win the title at this price. 

Arsenal +400: Arsenal is coming into the 2nd half of the season as the next team on the list to win the title according to the oddsmakers. Arsenal is currently sitting in 4th place in the Premier League table with 40 points from 19 matches this season. They were a team last season that was fighting for the Premier League Title and leading the table every step of the way until a very late collapse in the final weeks of the season. They have one of the better defenses in the league this season as they are one of the few teams averaging under 1 goal allowed per match this season. Their defense has carried them a long way this season but their attack has been letting them down. They have missed quite a few opportunities this season in matches where they were the dominant team but failed to capitalize on scoring chances. That is something that is going to come back to bite them later in the season, especially the deeper they go in Champions League. Last season was huge for Arsenal, not only because they finally put together a good squad that is worthy of competing for the title after so many years of darkness, but last season also marked their return to Champions League this year. They performed very well in the Champions League group stage as well, but they are not a team that has a lot of good quality depth and the deeper they go into Champions League, the more their title hopes will take a hit this season. There is some value in Arsenal winning the title at this price since they do have a very good quality squad, but with Champions League matches as well as their attacking struggles this season, Arsenal will likely fall short of the Premier League Title once again.

Aston Villa +2500: Aston Villa is coming into the 2nd half of the season as the next team on the list to win the title according to the oddsmakers. Aston Villa is currently sitting in 2nd place of the Premier League table with 42 points through 20 matches this season. Aston Villa was a team that was really on the rise near the end of last season as they were surging up the table, finishing in a Conference League spot, and they also have one of the better home records in the Premier League over the last calendar year. Unai Emery has been a big reason for their turnaround as they have done nothing but improve since he took over the team last season. They also have plans to bring in more players in the winter transfer window and strengthen key areas of the team that have been struggling. Their away form in the league has not been nearly as good but these moves could help improve that defense which is what they need to make a title push. They already have one of the strongest attacks in the Premier League as well as they are number 2 in the league for goals scored, 2 goals less than Man City who lead the league. Aston Villa also has an advantage playing in Conference League as they will not be facing very strong teams deeper in the competition which will be helpful late in the season when making a title push simultaneously. Aston Villa has a very good quality squad that is only going to get better as the season goes on and they have shown over the last calendar year that they are a real threat in the Premier League under Unai Emery. There is a lot of value in Aston Villa winning the title at this price as they have the squad to do so and are in the position right now, they are the dark horse to win it all this year.

Tottenham +5000: Tottenham is coming into the 2nd half of the season as the next team on the list to win the title according to the oddsmakers. Tottenham is currently sitting in 5th place in the Premier League with 36 points through 19 matches this season. They have had a lot of changes this season with the departure of Harry Kane in the summer and the hiring of their new manager Ange Postecoglou. Tottenham showed a lot of promise at the start of the season as Postecoglou really galvanized this attack and they were the best in the league at one point early on. They ended up hitting a rough stretch during the season which took them out of the title race and they have not been able to recover from that rough stretch as a lot of their key players have picked up injuries. Losing James Madison was a big loss to the team and they are slowly starting to find their groove again without these key pieces, but it may be too late for them this year. When healthy, this Tottenham squad has the potential to be the best team in the Premier League and they are going to be a very dangerous threat in the title race next season, but as for this season, there are just too many good teams in the league around them to make up for the points they have lost and they will not be able to keep pace in this season’s title race. There is no real value in Tottenham at this price. 

There are plenty of good teams in the Premier League this season as there is a lot more parity at the top of the table than there has been the last few years. January is a great time for these teams to evaluate where they are at and make a push for the title but as of right now, there are 2 very clear choices who have the most value in winning the title this season. Liverpool at +275 has a lot of value considering the squad they have and where they are in the table going into the 2nd half of the season while Aston Villa at +2500 is a great dark horse to win with their squad and their position in the table as well. Liverpool at +275 and Aston Villa at +2500 are the best options at this point in the season for teams to lift the Premier League Title this year.