Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/31/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 30, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Friday, May 31, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +114, Stars -135; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +114, Stars -135; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Edmonton Oilers:  49-27-6 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Edmonton Oilers:  6-4-0 last 10
Dallas Stars:  6-2-2 last 10



Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Oilers are entering this game with 104 points, a 49-27-6 record overall, and they were 21-18-2 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 5-2. Evan Bouchard, Leon Draisaitl, Mattias Ekholm, Mattias Janmark, and Ryan McLeod each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Connor McDavid led the team in assists with 3 while Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 22 shots with 20 saves and a .909 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 294 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 237 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-2. Wyatt Johnston and Esa Lindell each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jamie Benn led the team in assists with 2 while Jason Robertson, Tyler Seguin, and Logan Stankoven each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 28 shots with 24 saves and a .857 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Oilers vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the Western Conference Finals of the NHL playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Oilers won game 4 of this series on their home ice. The Stars came out strong in game 4 as they were up 2-0 in the 1st period, but the Oilers had tied the game by the end of that period and ended up scoring 5 unanswered goals to win the game 5-2 and even up this series. The Oilers had flipped the home advantage to their side as they won game 1 in this series, splitting the 2 games in Dallas, but they blew that in game 3 when they lost to the Stars as they gave the home advantage back to them. The Oilers haven't looked great in their road games this season either, going 21-18-2 in their road games this season. The Stars have looked great on their home ice all season while the Oilers have struggled in their road games, and even in these playoffs, their offense hasn't been as good in their road games. They have had to lean more on their defense in their road games, especially in this series, and that doesn't bode well for the Oilers since they are a much stronger offensive team. They haven't really scored more than 3 goals in any of their last 4 road games in the playoffs, and that will be a big problem in this game with the Stars looking to bounce back. The Stars have also been better on defense on their home ice so that is going to be a key factor in this game as the Stars have the home crowd on their side with the better play on the defensive end too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, May 31, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Oilers 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Edmonton Oilers: 11-9 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 22-24 (-17.6 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. 13-12 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline after playing 2 consecutive home games. 16-9 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 19-12 UNDER off a home win. 33-24 UNDER off a win or tie in their previous game.

Dallas Stars: 25-11 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-1 (+9 units) on the moneyline after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game. 11-1 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline after allowing 5 goals or more. 20-14 UNDER in the conference finals. 22-12 UNDER off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 11-5 UNDER after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game.

Key Injuries


Edmonton Oilers:  None.

Dallas Stars:  J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“We were a little sleepy. Found our legs, got going a little bit, started to play our game.” - Leon Draisaitl after their win against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Wednesday.


“Got home ice back. This isn’t supposed to be easy.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Oilers in game 4 of this series on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Edmonton Oilers
LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan
C McDavid, Connor
RW Hyman, Zach
LD Ekholm, Mattias
RD Bouchard, Evan
G Skinner, Stuart

Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Seguin, Tyler
LD Lindell, Esa
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Statistical Leaders


Edmonton Oilers
Points: C. McDavid (132)
Goals: Z. Hyman (54)
Assists: C. McDavid (100)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.45)

Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (1st season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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