Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/16/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jan 15, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 16, 2025
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Avalanche -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Avalanche -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Avalanche -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Edmonton Oilers:  27-13-3 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Colorado Avalanche:  27-17-1 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Edmonton Oilers:  7-2-1 last 10
Colorado Avalanche:  7-2-1 last 10



Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche Preview and Analysis


The Oilers are entering this game with 57 points, a 27-13-3 record overall, and they are 12-6-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one at home 1-0, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Minnesota Wild still to be played on Wednesday. In their game against the Kings, Connor McDavid scored 1 goal for them in that one. Leon Draisaitl and Darnell Nurse each led the team in assists with 1 while Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 30 shots with 30 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 140 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 117 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Avalanche are entering this game with 55 points, a 27-17-1 record overall, and they are 13-8-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Rangers in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2 in overtime. Parker Kelly, Artturi Lehkonen, and Devon Toews each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nathan MacKinnon led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 29 shots with 27 saves and a .931 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 150 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 140 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


Oilers vs Avalanche Prediction

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked good in their games this season with their 27-17-1 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the West. They have looked good on home ice with their 13-8-1 home record and they have dug themselves out of a big hole that they were in after a terrible start to the NHL season. Now they are coming off a tight road win over the Rangers in their last one and they have been rolling lately with their 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Oilers have looked really good in their games this season with their 27-13-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West. They have been a good road team this year with their 12-6-2 road record and they have looked great lately as they are also 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. The Oilers are coming off a tight win over the Kings in their last one and they have looked great on defense lately, but they have also been doing a lot of traveling and that is going to start taking a toll with the way they have gone back and forth from East to West. This is also a bad situation for the Oilers since they are playing this game on a back-to-back and still have a game against a really good Wild team in Minnesota on Wednesday. The Avalanche have been playing just as well as the Oilers lately and they are going to be on home ice here, they can take advantage of the Oilers in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Oilers Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, January 16, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Oilers 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Edmonton Oilers: 16-9 (+10.3 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 40-23 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 87-43 (+6 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 40-29 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more. 36-27 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Colorado Avalanche: 39-28 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 39-29 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 21-25 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp. 32-26 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Key Injuries


Edmonton Oilers:  E. Kane (LW) Out - Knee. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Colorado Avalanche:  S. Girard (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. V. Nichushkin (RW) Out - Lower Body. G. Landeskog (LW) Out - Knee. O. Kylington (D) Out - Upper-body. M. Wood (LW) Out - Upper-body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.


Notable Quotes


“It’s been a long road trip and we’ve seen a lot of good hockey teams. And it continues on right until the end when we finish off in Vancouver.” - Kris Knoblauch on his team’s road trip.


“Ultimately, it’s like we only had half a team playing. We had some guys that had to have monster efforts just to stay in the game." - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Rangers in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Edmonton Oilers
LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
C Connor McDavid
RW Zach Hyman
LD Mattias Ekholm
RD Evan Bouchard
G Calvin Pickard

Colorado Avalanche
LW Jonathan Drouin
C Nathan MacKinnon
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Devon Toews
RD Cale Makar
G MacKenzie Blackwood

Statistical Leaders


Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (64)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (31)
Assists: C. McDavid (42)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.50)

Colorado Avalanche
Points: N. MacKinnon (70)
Goals: M. Rantanen (25)
Assists: N. MacKinnon (55)
GAA: M. Blackwood (4.68)

Coaches:
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)
Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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