Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 06, 2022
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, May 7, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +155, Astros -180; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +155, Astros -180; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +155, Astros -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  8-16 (5th place, AL Central)
Houston Astros:  15-11 (2nd place, AL West)
 
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Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  2-8 last 10
Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Detroit Tigers Analysis

The Tigers are coming into this game with a 8-16 record overall and they are 3-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just split their 2-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 1-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Saturday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Rookie pitcher Beau Brieske is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Elvin Rodríguez is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA this season. This will be his first start of the season. In his last appearance, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 3 hits in 2.2 IP against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging 2.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.
 

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros are coming into this game with a 15-11 record overall and they are 6-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Saturday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Luis Garcia is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Framber Valdez will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-2 with a 3.42 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 2 hits in 6.1 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 2 runs against them averaging under 1 run allowed per game.
 

 

Tigers vs Astros Prediction

The Astros are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they just swept the Mariners in their last series and have already won the first game of this series. The Astros got off to a slow start but they have been starting to heat up recently and they have been hitting the ball much better in their last few series. They are going up against a Tigers team that has not been playing well this season and already almost has twice as many losses as wins. They have not been winning a lot of games recently and they have not been scoring a lot of runs either. The Astros are at home here and have been hitting much better recently, they will keep gaining steam in this series as they start to go on a roll. The best bet here is on the Astros to win this game.
 
Tigers Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 7, 2022 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Astros 6 Tigers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Detroit Tigers: 108-136 (+19 Units) ML in all games. 35-44 (+7.8 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 11-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Houston Astros: 156-121 (-10.4 Units) ML in all games. 79-44 (-7.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 11-5 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Detroit Tigers:  C. Mize (SP) Late May - Elbow injury. M. Manning (SP) Late May - Shoulder injury. T. Alexander (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
Houston Astros:  T. Jones (1B) Out indefinitely - Back injury. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early June - Forearm injury. J. Meyers (CF) Mid May - Shoulder injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Tough loss, tough league. Hopefully the energy at the top half of the (ninth) will carry over to tomorrow." - A.J. Hinch after his team’s loss against the Astros on Thursday.
 
 
"Baseball is a game, like life, that teaches you lessons sometimes, so that probably won't happen again. I'm glad that we won the game. We all thought it was gone, but the ball's not gone until it disappears over the fence. He learned a lesson. He would have really felt bad had we lost that ball game." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Tigers on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Detroit Tigers
Robbie Grossman (S) RF
Javier Baez (R) SS
Miguel Cabrera (R) DH
Jeimer Candelario (S) 3B
Harold Castro (L) 1B
Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
Willi Castro (S) LF
Tucker Barnhart (S) C
Akil Baddoo (L) CF
 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) LF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Chas McCormick (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Harold Castro (.341)
Hits:  Austin Meadows (23)
Home Runs:  Spencer Torkelson (3)
RBI:  Javier Baez (11)
Stolen Bases:  Akil Baddoo (1)
Wins:  Jacob Barnes (3)
Saves:  Gregory Soto (4)
ERA:  Michael Fulmer (0.00)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Michael Brantley (.281)
Hits:  Michael Brantley (25)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (8)
RBI:  Alex Bregman (16)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (4)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (3)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (3)
ERA:  Seth Martinez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A. J. Hinch (2nd season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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