Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/18/2024

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  BSDET

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +142, Braves -170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +145, Braves -170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +142, Braves -170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Detroit Tigers:  34-37 (4th place, AL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  38-31 (2nd place, NL East)

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Detroit Tigers:  3-7 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10

The Tigers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-37 record overall and have a road record of 18-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .676 OPS. Reese Olson is their starting pitcher on Monday while Casey Mize is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-4 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-31 record overall and have a home record of 21-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 34-37 record overall and their 18-18 road record which has them in 4th place of the AL Central. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good with their 38-31 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, but they haven't looked good over the last few weeks as they are playing well below the usual standard of the Braves. They have looked better in their home games this year with their 21-13 home record, but they don't have a good pitching matchup in this game. They are going to have Schwellenbach on the mound in this one and he has been terrible in his few starts this season. This is his 1st season in the MLB and he is 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, but he has been giving up runs in every start so far and the team has lost all 3 games played with him starting. The Tigers have been struggling lately but they have Mize on the mound here and he will give them a chance to win this one. Mize is 1-4 with a 4.43 ERA this season, but he has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start as he hasn't been giving up many runs lately, and the team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. The Braves haven't been that great lately or all season and the Tigers can take advantage of that with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game or on the runline to keep it close. 

Tigers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 18, 2024 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Tigers 4 Braves 1.

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Detroit Tigers: 53-86 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +150 or more. 90-108 (+18.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 43-45 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 24-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. CASEY MIZE is 17-9 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 9-3 UNDER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing.

Atlanta Braves: 38-31 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-26 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 24-21 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 25-14 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more. 18-6 UNDER in an inter-league game. 30-13 UNDER against right-handed starters.

Detroit Tigers:  J. Flaherty (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Baez (SS) Out indefinitely - Spine. A. Faedo (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Harris II (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

“We did battle. We obviously couldn’t get anything started against him. The three walks, you have a chance with two outs, but he wiggles out of it. And then he just continued to hit spots and threw a lot of different pitches.” - A.J. Hinch after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Sunday.

“He can assume this role. He can run, he can steal a base, he’s a really good outfielder. ... He’s done what we brought him in to do. I’ve been more than pleased with his defensive abilities. Now, we’re going to ask him to do a little more than we thought. If he’s going to do it, he’s ready for it now.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Saturday.

Wenceel Pérez (S) RF

Matt Vierling (R) CF

Riley Greene (L) DH

Mark Canha (R) 1B

Colt Keith (L) 2B

Gio Urshela (R) 3B

Akil Baddoo (L) LF

Carson Kelly (R) C

Zach McKinstry (L) SS

Jarred Kelenic (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) LF

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Ramón Laureano (R) RF

Batting Average:  Kerry Carpenter (.283)

Hits:  Riley Greene (66)

Home Runs:  Riley Greene (14)

RBI:  Riley Greene (36)

Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)

Wins:  Tarik Skubal (8)

Saves:  Jason Foley (12)

ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.20)

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.322)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (83)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (20)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (62)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (18)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:

Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)