by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 27, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 30, 2024
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, 49ers +3.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, 49ers +3.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lions -3.5, 49ers +3.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Season Record
Detroit Lions: 13-2 (1st place, NFC North)
San Francisco 49ers: 6-9 (4th place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Detroit Lions: won their last game on the road against the Chicago Bears 34-17.
San Francisco 49ers: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 29-17.
Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Lions are entering this game with a 13-2 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 7-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 34-17. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 23/32 passes for 336 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 109 and 1 TD. Jameson Williams led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Brian Branch led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ifeatu Melifonwu and Al-Quadin Muhammad each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 6-9 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 29-17. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 26/40 passes for 313 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brock Purdy led the team in rushing yards with 26. George Kittle led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Renardo Green led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Lions vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 13-2 record overall which has them leading the NFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They are leading the race for the number 1 seed in the NFC too, but they do have the Vikings right behind them with the exact same record so the Lions can't afford to lose anymore games this season. Meanwhile, the 49ers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-9 record overall which has them at the bottom of the NFC West. They are coming off a 29-17 loss to the Dolphins last week and that loss took them out of playoff contention. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries this season and it has affected them in a big way on the field, but they never really looked good in a lot of their games either. Now they really have nothing left to play for this season and with all the injuries they have accumulated this year, they are just going to be focused on staying healthy in these last 2 games. The Lions are still fighting to win the number 1 seed in the NFC and their division so they are going to bring their best effort here, and they still want revenge for the 49ers kicking them out of the playoffs last year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Lions 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 30, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Lions 31 49ers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Detroit Lions: 36-16 ATS in all games. 19-6 ATS in road games. 19-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 10-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 31-20 OVER in all games. 13-6 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-4 OVER off a road win.
San Francisco 49ers: 1-6 ATS against NFC North division opponents. 3-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 4-12 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 5-0 1H OVER as an underdog. 14-7 1H OVER after playing their last game on the road. 9-3 1H OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Detroit Lions: T. Arnold (CB) Injured - Illness. D. Montgomery (RB) Injured - Knee. G. Glasgow (OL) Injured - Knee. K. Raymond (WR) Injured - Foot. J. Reeves-Maybin (LB) Injured - Neck.
San Francisco 49ers: D. Greenlaw (LB) Injured - Calf. R. Beal (DL) Injured - Ankle. A. Banks (OL) Injured - Knee. S. Burford (OL) Injured - Calf. J. Brown (SAF) Injured - Ankle. I. Guerendo (RB) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“This is when your eyes get opened, when competition is at its highest, people are breathing down your neck or you’re chasing somebody and you’re at the top. It just doesn’t get any better than this. This is what it’s all about. Can it get frustrating, can it get stressful? Yeah, it gets all those. But also it’s the drug. It’s the drug. This is what you live for. Look, some can’t. Some can’t handle this. It’s too much for them. Players, coaches, teams, it’s just too much. But not our group. This is the good stuff, man, and we’re in the middle of it right now.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
“We kind of had that vibe last week. I know it wasn’t official, but we understand numbers, so we kind of knew that last week.” - Kyle Shanahan on being eliminated from playoff contention after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Detroit Lions
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr
San Francisco 49ers
WR Samuel Sr., Deebo
WR Pearsall, Ricky
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Taylor Jr., Patrick
FB Juszczyk, Kyle
Statistical Leaders
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (4095)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (1156)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (1126)
Touchdowns: J. Gibbs (15)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (3487)
Rushing: J. Mason (789)
Receiving: G. Kittle (967)
Touchdowns: G. Kittle (8)
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (4th season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
